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Nate Silver /FiveThirtyEight : There’s no longer any doubt that the party conventions have shifted the presidential election substantially toward Hillary Clinton. She received a larger bounce ... → Read More
New polls out, note how often Trump is < 40. → Read More
Good to be back! And btw, the convention/wrath of Khan polling bump isn’t hurting my mood any. Trump isn’t toast yet, but the bread’s in the toaster . It’s just a question of how long it ... → Read More
WaPo : Donald Trump is a unique threat to American democracy The party’s failure of judgment leaves the nation’s future where it belongs, in the hands of voters. Many Americans do not like ... → Read More
The speech was too late for all the responses, but we do have a few: → Read More
Welcome to the Republican Convention and Trump World. Melania lied (she claimed to have written the speech, now a low level staffer as expected is taking the fall, which in itself makes little sense; → Read More
Monday and Tuesday RNC are in the books. We have a lot more material on Monday to work with (there are the open threads from last night here ), but don’t miss Lucifer Gets A Shoutout At The ... → Read More
> The scene, with party officials feuding in front of reporters and cameras, was a distressing one for a party looking to present a united front amid Trump’s battle with Hillary Clinton for the presidency. And it was all the more frustrating for party leaders because they came an eyelash away from preventing it. In the final hours before the voting Monday, Cuccinelli — a leader of the party’s… → Read More
> President Obama just had a news conference, but he doesn't have a clue. Our country is a divided crime scene, and it will only get worse! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 17, 2016 > From a shining city on a hill to a divided crime scene, the vision of the standard bearer of the party of Reagan. — Mark Salter (@MarkSalter55) July 17, 2016 Mark Salter is an ex-McCain speechwriter. > For… → Read More
Not enough yet from the pundits on the attempted coup in Turkey. Today’s pundit round-up will concentrate on domestic politics. Alec MacGillis with a great read: The disruption that the nomination of Trump represents for the party of Lincoln,... → Read More
It’s too soon for all the facts about France (more pieces on that here tomorrow, und oubtedly… no lack of empathy fro m me, but the pundits haven ’t written their pieces yet ). Follow NYT ... → Read More
Enough about politics for a few minutes (have no fear, we will get back to it). Let’s talk policy. Dan Diamond : “We knew our economy spends more than it should on health care," says Bob ... → Read More
Greg Sargent : Early this morning, before Bernie Sanders made his big speech endorsing Hillary Clinton today in New Hampshire, Sanders’s top policy adviser, Warren Gunnels, sent an email to a ... → Read More
Greg Sargent : Why can’t Trump or Clinton unite our badly divided country? It’s the wrong question. If the phrase “trying to unify the country” at this particular moment has any meaning, ... → Read More
Michael Eric Dyson : The problem is you do not want to know anything different from what you think you know. Your knowledge of black life, of the hardships we face, yes, those we sometimes create, ... → Read More
> Clinton & Sanders' camps are in talks for a joint appearance, possibly next wk in NH, reports @jeffzeleny. But itâÂÂs not set in stone yet. — Dan Merica (@danmericaCNN) July 6, 2016 Jonathan Ladd, political scientist, no axe to grind: > First, Zaller argues that media negativity follows a "rule of anticipated importance," in which a politician receives media scrutiny in proportion to his or… → Read More
Some days the pundit round-up writes itself. → Read More
Mic : Donald Trump's "Star of David" Hillary Clinton Meme Was Created by White Supremacist On Saturday, Donald Trump tweeted a meme that used dog-whistle anti-Semitism to announce that his ... → Read More
Greg Sargent : The latest draft of the Democratic Party platform, which is set to be released as early as this afternoon, will show that Bernie Sanders won far more victories on his signature ... → Read More
I have enjoyed giving as much space for political scientists this cycle as we could. You learn a lot that way. For example: David A Hopkins : The volume and generally deferential character of ... → Read More