Seth Masket
FiveThirtyEight
Denver, CO, United States
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Past articles by Seth:
How An Uptick In Censures Among Local Republicans Signals A Growing Radicalism
The Republican National Committee’s censure last month of GOP Reps. Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger was a historical rarity — national parties almost never reprim… → Read More
Democrats might lose the House because they didn’t embrace gerrymandering
A faction of the party favors good government even if it costs them politically. → Read More
Elections never settle debates between progressives and moderates
For many Democrats, Tuesday’s losses just confirmed what they’ve been saying all along → Read More
‘Luck’ didn’t win Biden the presidency. Party solidarity did.
Democrats swore they’d present a united front against Trump. Biden was the beneficiary. → Read More
How Much Did COVID-19 Affect The 2020 Election?
Not as much as one might expect. → Read More
It’s dangerous when the minority party rules everyone else
Republicans get fewer votes, but they’re about to lock down the Supreme Court. → Read More
Trump’s rush for a covid vaccine could make it less likely to work
The president has spent years undermining the agencies working on ‘Operation Warp Speed.’ → Read More
How Clinton’s Loss Paved The Way For Biden
After a crowded and lengthy contest for the Democratic presidential nomination, the party fell in line on Super Tuesday, effectively choosing Joe Biden as the b… → Read More
How Can A Senator Vote With Trump Most Of The Time And Still Be A Moderate?
It all depends on how you measure their ideology. → Read More
Democratic And GOP Governors Enacted Stay-At-Home Orders On The Same Timeline. But All Holdouts Are Republicans.
Republican governors have been widely criticized for being slower than their Democratic counterparts in imposing social distancing requirements to halt the spre… → Read More
Postponing primaries sets a terrible precedent
We held regularly scheduled elections during the Civil War. A pandemic shouldn’t stop us now. → Read More
Democratic Activists Seem Out Of Step With Voters So Far
Just before the now-infamous Iowa caucuses began, I concluded the final wave of my recurring interviews with early-state Democratic activists. Thirty-one activi… → Read More
Big-Dollar Party Donors Like Biden
Knowing who the Democratic Party wants as the nominee can be difficult, especially with a field this large. Arguably, the party hasn’t even reached a conclusion… → Read More
Democratic Party Activists May Be Cooling On Warren And Warming To Biden
In my last round of interviews with Democratic activists in early-primary states, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, at long last, seemed to be getting traction. Forty-eigh… → Read More
Warren Is Increasingly Popular With Democratic Activists In Early States
In my ongoing series of interviews with Democratic activists in early-primary states, one consistent theme has been their reticence to commit to backing a singl… → Read More
Who Democrats In Early-Primary States Don’t Want To See Nominated
The still-very-crowded Democratic presidential primary has been polled pretty extensively this year, giving observers a sense of who’s doing well in their effor… → Read More
Many Early-State Activists Are Uncommitted, But They Think Warren Is Gaining Ground
The first two Democratic debates have come and gone, and now the third is a little over two weeks away. And while the field is beginning to winnow, and a few ke… → Read More
Cory Booker Is Trailing In The Polls, But Some Democratic Activists Really Like Him
Some of the candidates doing well among these activists aren’t necessarily the front-runners in the primary polls. → Read More
The DNC Tried to Be Neutral. Now It Looks Biased.
To avoid allegations of favoritism, the DNC debate line-ups were randomized—to the benefit, or detriment, of Elizabeth Warren, depending on who you ask. → Read More
What’s motivating the DNC’s debate rules
Democrats are trying to learn from 2016 and prevent the same problems in the nomination race. → Read More