William Bowe, Crikey.com.au

William Bowe


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Past articles by William:

If the polls are wrong, it will be their worst performance in 40 years — or since last time

The pollsters are predicting a Joe Biden win in the 2020 US election against Donald Trump. But they were wrong in 2016. → Read More

Palaszczuk's popularity and performance could see Labor defy mood for change

If the polls are correct and Labor pulls off a narrow win in Queensland tomorrow, the election will be remembered as one in which the actual campaign period made a difference. → Read More

The death of populism? Kiwi and ACT elections signal tough times for ‘disruptors’

The NZ election and ACT election results show a renewed support for the left. But how much can we really read into it? → Read More

General election soothsayers shouldn’t divine much from Eden-Monaro

What does the result of the Eden-Monaro byelection tell us about the fortunes of the Liberal and Labor parties going forward? → Read More

Why are the Greens preferencing Labor last in this NT byelection?

It's almost without precedent for the Greens to actively tilt the scales in the conservatives' favour. → Read More

Polling in crisis: Newspoll is back, but the election result casts doubt on its analysis

Newspoll has placed the Coalition soundly ahead in its first analysis since the shock 2019 federal election result. But can we believe it? → Read More

Senate preferences leave the left in tatters

Through Senate preferences, the Coalition has achieved a voting bloc so solid it may not even have to dirty its hands with One Nation. → Read More

Labor’s religious problem isn’t going away any time soon

Winning back religious voters will do more for Labor's chances of forming government than you may think. → Read More

2019 Federal Election: Why poll numbers have election-watchers concerned

You might think that unanimity in the results of multiple two party preferred polls would mean they must be accurate, but you'd be wrong. → Read More

Poll Bludger: why politicians want to cast doubt on early voting

Politicians in the 2019 federal election have a strong motivation to cast doubts on the democratic merits of pre-poll voting. → Read More

Labor has a clear edge in the polls for the 2019 federal election

It is with good reason that Labor starts the campaign as short-priced favourites with the bookies, writes William Bowe. → Read More

NSW election: now that the results are in, what comes next?

Stagnating votes, plot twists, and dogs that failed to bark — an analysis of the weekend's election results. → Read More

Poll Bludger: hung parliament a real possibility in NSW state election

The only other likely outcome is an outright Coalition win, despite the problems Gladys Berejiklian has in regional areas. → Read More

Poll Bludger: Leadership rumours, a struggle in NSW keep the Nationals busy

As federal Nationals whisper of a pre-election leadership spill, the NSW branch has its own share of problems in the imminent state election. → Read More

The refugee medical transfer bill is not Scott Morrison's 'Tampa moment'

Forget the polls, it will take a massive reactivation of boat arrivals to spin the medivac bill loss to the Coalition's election advantage. → Read More

The independent wave rises, but washing out the Liberals won't be easy

More and more independents, like Zali Steggall, are announcing plans to challenge Liberal seats. Do they have a chance? → Read More

Greens devastated in Victorian upper house election results

The Greens have been almost completely removed from Victoria's upper house. But it's good news for Daniel Andrews' Labor. → Read More

Victorian election 2018: the seats that blew Matthew Guy out of the water

Some of the worst results for the Libs in the Victorian election were closely tied to the party's federal chaos. → Read More

Victorian election 2018: Frankston, Latrobe Valley, seats to watch in Saturday's poll

From Ripon to the Latrobe Valley: the places around Victoria we expect to be most hotly contested in Saturday's Victorian election. → Read More

While others abandon preference whispering, Victoria persists

The game of micro-party preference whispering is in ruder health than ever in Victoria, despite being dismantled elswhere. → Read More