Shock Exchange, Seeking Alpha

Shock Exchange

Seeking Alpha

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Past articles by Shock:

Novavax Q1 Earnings: Fails To Deliver (NASDAQ:NVAX)

Novavax (NVAX) missed on Q1 revenue and earnings. NVAX stock is down over 15% post-earnings. See why the outlook for NVAX appears weak. → Read More

NOV Stock Has Peaked, Sell (NYSE:NOV)

NOV reported strong revenue growth in Q1 and an improved EBITDA margin. However, read this article to check out what makes NOV stock a sell. → Read More

Sell Patrick Industries Stock

PATK's quarterly revenue spiked on higher RV sales and acquisitions. The stock is down over 30% Y/Y. Find out why I expect further declines. → Read More

LCI Industries: Growth Could Stall (NYSE:LCII)

LCII's Q4 revenue rose over 50% YOY, yet fell 4% sequentially. If LCII tamps down acquisitions, it may have to rely on organic growth. → Read More

Lululemon: Weak Guidance Could Weigh

LULU reports earnings after hours.Another quarter of double digit revenue growth and expanding margins could be in the cards.Negative effects of the coronavirus will likely lead to weak guidance for next quarter.Weak guidance and dismal economic data could weigh on LULU over the short term. I rate the stock a hold. → Read More

Macy's: There Goes The Dividend

M suspended its dividend. This should help cash flow going forward.M must pare debt to appease the rating agencies.M is off about 75% Y/Y. Until the company can arrest the slide in revenue and earnings, the stock remains a sell. → Read More

L Brands Remains A Sell

LB temporarily closed some of its stores due to the negative impact of the coronavirus.Revenue and operating income were in decline prior to negative effects of the coronavirus.LB is up over 50% off its 52-week low as financial markets rise on hopes of a government stimulus.LB remains a sell until revenue and operating income declines subside. → Read More

Coronavirus Could Expose The Achilles' Heel For Burlington

BURL announced it was closing stores amid negative effects of the coronavirus. The company also pulled its Q1 guidance. BURL's e-commerce operations are negligi → Read More

Price Discovery Could Sink Danaher

Over the past few years, Danaher has delivered considered revenue and earnings growth. Investors rewarded the company with a robust valuation. That may have wor → Read More

A Weak Outlook Could Sink FedEx

FDX reports earnings after-hours.Thawing trade tensions with China should help this quarter. The impact of the coronavirus could hurt by the second half of 2020.FDX has increased costs to expand into 7-day service. That expansion could hurt margins again this quarter.If management gives a weak outlook, then it could drag down FDX and the entire transportation sector. Sell FDX. → Read More

General Electric's Credit Quality Takes A Turn For The Worse

Falling oil prices have caused BKR's market capitalization to fall hard. The value of GE's stake in BKR has also fallen. That likely means GE has less assets to → Read More

Burlington Falls On Weak Guidance

BURL reported solid earnings, yet the stock fell on weak guidance.The company continues to report strong revenue growth and stable margins.Broader markets are down due to falling oil prices and coronavirus fears.Price discovery in broader markets could cause BURL's 13x EBITDA multiple to contract. Sell BURL. → Read More

J.C. Penney Is Not Out Of The Woods Yet

JCP's revenue declined, yet gross margin improved.I am beginning to see CEO Jill Soltau's vision. Focusing on fewer products with acceptable gross margins appears to be working.EBITDA fell as the company was not able to cut into SG&A costs.Its $3.7 billion debt load is at 6.5x EBITDA. Until JCP can improve its credit metrics, the stock remains a sell. → Read More

Burlington Is A Hold Into Earnings

BURL reports earnings Wednesday.The retailer is growing revenue at a strong pace, while maintaining profit margins.BURL could buy up leftover merchandise at a discount if competitors continue to falter.At 19x EBITDA the stock is fairly valued. I rate BURL a hold into earnings. → Read More

Agilent: The Coronavirus Engulfs Life Sciences

Agilent warned its life sciences operations faced headwinds from the coronavirus in its most recent quarter.It expects more headwinds in the first half of the year.Margins dipped slightly in its most-recent quarter, but could improve later on in the year.At 22x EBITDA the stock is overvalued. → Read More

Falling Margins Could Hurt Abercrombie & Fitch

ANF reports earnings tomorrow.Hollister was formerly a growth engine. It appears to have cracked.Revenue growth has been stagnant. Margins have fallen hard in amid a tough retail environment.I expect margins to remain under pressure for the foreseeable future.Sell ANF into earnings. → Read More

Shrinking Margins Could Stymie Urban Outfitters

URBN reports quarterly earnings after hours.Margins have been falling due to discounting needed to move its burgeoning inventory balance.Shrinking margins and higher logistics expenses pursuant to the digital channel could cause operating income to fall hard.Sell URBN. → Read More

Target: Margins Will Be In Focus Tuesday

TGT reports earnings Tuesday.TGT's historical sales trajectory could be off due to disappointing holiday sales.The company has been growing revenue and expanding margins. Gross margin could be a key area of focus.I rate TGT a hold due to headwinds to the economy and broader markets from the coronavirus. → Read More

Siemens Healthineers Is Too Pricey

SMMNY is generating solid top line growth.EBIT margins are falling due to negative mix at its largest operating segment.Potential headwinds from the coronavirus may not be priced in.At over 14x EBITDA, SMMNY is a sell. → Read More

Retail Headwinds Could Engulf American Eagle

AEO's quarterly revenue could slow.Margins will likely decline amid a heavy promotional environment in the retail space.AEO is down Y/Y by double-digits. If broader markets decline, then AEO will likely fall further. Sell AEO into earnings. → Read More