Paul Stronski, Carnegie Endowment

Paul Stronski

Carnegie Endowment

Washington, DC, United States

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  • Unknown
  • Carnegie Endowment
  • Axios

Past articles by Paul:

Nine Things to Know About Kazakhstan’s Election

Kazakhstanis will vote for a new president on June 9. The election was supposed to be a smooth transition to a handpicked, pliant successor, not an open contest. But things are not going as originally planned. → Read More

Is Russia Up to No Good in the Balkans?

The Kremlin has been flexing its influence in Southeast Europe. What is its ultimate goal? → Read More

On Central Asia’s Big Questions

The five states of Central Asia — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan — mark 27 years of independence in 2018. → Read More

Is Kazakhstan Preparing for a Post-Nazarbayev Era?

Kazakhstan’s political system is quite opaque, so it is not clear what exactly is driving recent changes in the senior ranks of the government. What is clear, however, is that Kazakh society is growing restless, as socioeconomic problems in the country grow. → Read More

History shows why Trump needs clear objectives for Putin summit

A conciliatory approach has not worked out for past presidents. → Read More

Armenia’s Democratic Triumph

The resignation of Armenian Prime Minister Serzh Sargsyan after eleven days of peaceful protest was a genuine expression of the will of the people. Yet Armenia’s economic and security challenges mean that preserving this moment for democracy will require tremendous effort. → Read More

China and Russia’s Uneasy Partnership in Central Asia

China and Russia have grown increasingly close over the past decade, but the imbalance of power between Beijing and Moscow is increasing. Although their partnership in Central Asia is stable for now, Chinese economic, political, and soft power is shifting the geopolitical landscape. → Read More

The (Former) Soviet Empire Strikes Back

Russia’s meddling in the U.S. political system is part of a broader global campaign to undermine what the Kremlin sees as a Western-dominated international order. → Read More

Russia Looks to the Central African Republic to Beef Up Its Arms Sales to Africa

Given rising defense spending across Africa and concerns about Islamist extremism in some countries, Russia sees the continent as an area of opportunity for growth. → Read More

The Return of Global Russia: An Analytical Framework

Russia has employed a range of policy tools in recent years to undermine elements of the U.S.-led international order and expand Moscow’s influence on the global stage. → Read More

Uncertain Continuity: Central Asia and the Trump Administration

Consumed by domestic controversies and growing foreign policy crises in North Korea and the Middle East, the Trump administration has put little effort into developing a new policy approach towards Central Asia. → Read More

The United States and Armenia at Twenty-Five

A conversation with five former and current ambassadors—three American and two Armenian—on U.S.-Armenian ties over the past twenty-five years. → Read More

Time to Reset U.S. Policy in the South Caucasus

Geopolitical conditions in the South Caucasus have experienced a substantial shift in recent years. Washington needs to adjust assumptions in advancing U.S. interests in the region to make the most of its capabilities. → Read More

U.S. Policy Toward the South Caucasus: Take Three

The United States has important but not vital interests in the South Caucasus, which include preserving regional stability; preventing the resumption of frozen conflicts; and supporting democratic change and better governance as well as the international integration of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. → Read More

Georgia at Twenty-Five: In a Difficult Spot

Georgia has made steady progress since independence, but ongoing challenges call for further integration with the West, improved relations with Russia, and deeper ties with other partners. → Read More

Trump Difficult to Use Russia Against China

Sino-Russian relations are fairly strong and mutually beneficial, particularly for Russia in its pursuit of global power status. It will be difficult to manage triangular relations between China, the United States, and Russia. → Read More

Illusions vs Reality: Twenty-Five Years of U.S. Policy Toward Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia

The U.S.-Russian relationship is broken, and it cannot be repaired quickly or easily. → Read More

Turkmenistan at Twenty-Five: The High Price of Authoritarianism

Turkmenistan’s political model appears far more fragile than the record after twenty-five years of independence might lead one to believe. → Read More

Armenia at Twenty-Five: A Rough Ride

The sustainability of Armenia’s model of partial democracy is being challenged by growing popular dissatisfaction and a looming generational turnover. → Read More

Uzbekistan—Where Are We Now, And What’s Next?

Uzbekistan’s President Islam Karimov has held that position since the country gained independence in 1991. A great deal of uncertainty remains about who his successor might be. → Read More