Neil Greenberg
Washington Post
Washington, DC, United States
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Past articles by Neil:
Will the Arizona Cardinals be historically bad? Don’t bet on it.
Point spreads suggest the Cardinals are considered the worst team in the NFL, but that doesn’t mean they won’t be able to win enough to avoid infamy. → Read More
Kentucky Derby long shots that could win at Churchill Downs
Who could duplicate Rich Strike's upset at this year's Kentucky Derby? Here are three long shots to consider. → Read More
Who will win the Kentucky Derby? It could be long shot Confidence Game.
Who will win the Kentucky Derby? It could be long shot Confidence Game, who has the speed and stamina to surprise the favorites. → Read More
Odds, post positions and analysis for the 2023 Kentucky Derby
The 2023 Kentucky Derby features a host of contenders, including Forte, Tapit Trice and Angel of Empire. Here's a look at the odds and post positions. → Read More
Aaron Rodgers might be declining. He’s still a huge upgrade for the Jets.
The Jets are paying an awful lot to acquire Aaron Rodgers. Here's why it might make sense. → Read More
As MLB teams light up scoreboards, late-arriving fans are missing out
In the new MLB, first-inning fireworks have become shockingly normal. → Read More
Stolen bases are back in baseball, thanks to the pitch clock, new rules
The stolen base has returned to Major League Baseball. You can thank the sport's radical rule changes. → Read More
Analytics could have led you to March Madness success. Were you listening?
Why careful analysts were some of the real March Madness winners this year. → Read More
Super Bowl squares: The best and worst combinations
Super Bowl Squares are popular and predictable, which doesn't make them any less enjoyable. → Read More
NFL best bets for Week 13: Trust the Seahawks (and the Bengals’ offense)
The Los Angeles Rams will struggle to stay with Seattle, while the Bengals shouldn't have much trouble scoring against the Kansas City Chiefs. → Read More
NFL best bets for Week 12: Keep riding this Commanders wave
Left hand up, then click on the Commanders (to shut down Atlanta's erratic offense). → Read More
Looking for a Super Bowl value bet? Consider the Dallas Cowboys.
Also, why it might be worth a wager on the New York Jets or New England Patriots to win the NFC East. → Read More
NFL best bets for Week 11: Justin Fields keeps getting better
The Bears and Lions lit up the scoreboard when they met last week. This week, they're both best bets. → Read More
Josh Allen is injured. How much should the point spread move?
Here's one method to assess the point-spread value of NFL quarterbacks, from stars to backups. → Read More
NFL best bets for Week 10: Fade Aaron Rodgers and the flailing Packers
We might have passed the point of no return for the struggling offenses of the Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams. → Read More
This topsy-turvy NFL season has been a boon for the underdog
NFL underdogs are 68-52-2 against the point spread, a 57 percent cover rate that, if it continues, would be the highest since at least 2002. → Read More
Breeders’ Cup 2022: Entries, picks, odds and start times for Saturday’s races
Saturday’s schedule features nine championship races, including the $4 million Breeders’ Cup Turf and the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic. → Read More
The one trend that matters when betting the NFL
Cover margin trends can tell us not only if a team is on the rise or decline but also if the market has caught up with reality. → Read More
NFL best bets for Week 8: Records can be deceiving. Look at the Raiders.
This week's best bets are both narrow road favorites with sub-.500 records. → Read More
NFL scoring is down. Is it time to start betting the under?
Before blindly betting on the under, bettors should consider how to estimate point totals, and how often particular totals occur. → Read More