Aaron Brown, Bloomberg

Aaron Brown

Bloomberg

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Recent:
  • Bloomberg
Past:
  • Washington Post
  • WealthManagement.com
  • BQ Prime

Recent articles by Aaron:

Wall Street Quants Shouldn't Confuse Luck With Skill

A public spat between two hedge fund firms proves that when it comes to factor investing, small deviations in the details can make a big difference. → Read More

Want to Succeed on Wall Street? Learn Poker, Not Economics

A new study from the Federal Reserve finds that among professional investors, neither intelligence nor other personality traits and cognitive skills matter much. → Read More

Not Even AI Can Beat the Market These Days

A tireless machine able to digest all information and immune to biases should be clearly superior to humans when it comes to investing. Except it's not. → Read More

What the Inverted Yield Curve Says About the Next Recession

While the signs are ominous, they’re not yet suggesting an economic disruption as severe as the one that ended the 1970s inflation shock. → Read More

Diversifying? Volatility Matters More Than Size

How many stocks do you need to have a properly diversified portfolio? Bigger is generally better, but it depends more on your luck. → Read More

FTX Collapse Is a Feature, Not a Bug, of Financial Innovation

It’s not as if “more regulation” has any track record of success. Failure means we need more experimentation with more new ideas until we find a mix that works. → Read More

At Twitter, Musk is Moving Fast and Breaking Things

The billionaire has a track record of leveraging software, and drawing in the capital and talent needed to build great companies. He can do it again. → Read More

Young Versus Old Will Define Fight Over Public Pensions

The market rout is exposing the vulnerability of the US public pension system. Inflation and the tight labor market will force the worst-hit states into some hard decisions. → Read More

The Stock Market Had History on Its Side. Now It Doesn’t.

The August rebound suggested the lows were in. But the September slump means this year may be only the second time since 1873 when buying at the halfway recovery point was a mistake. → Read More

The Stock Market Had History on Its Side. Now It Doesn’t.

The August rebound suggested the lows were in. But the September slump means this year may be only the second time since 1873 when buying at the halfway recovery point was a mistake. → Read More

Risk Parity Funds Have Failed to Work as Advertised

Investors, especially nonprofessionals, have been hit with unexpected losses in a strategy designed to protect against an uncertain and volatile world. → Read More

Unless Rents Rise, Housing Is Set Up for an Epic Crash

All of the reasons to suggest residential real estate is not facing a disaster have melted away. → Read More

Abandoning Value Stocks Requires Some Dubious Assumptions

A new paper from hedge fund manager Cliff Asness has sparked a fierce debate about the link between interest rates and equities considered cheap based on fundamental metrics. → Read More

The Stock Market's Rebound Has History on Its Side

Since 1926, equities have recovered more than half of a 10% or larger decline 79 times and only once, in March 1930, did they reach a new low before setting a new all-time peak. → Read More

Stock Investors Better Hope a Recession Has Started

Equity declines of more than 20% that were not followed by deep economic contractions have always foreshadowed even bigger losses. → Read More

Is This a Stock Picker’s Market? It’s Complicated

In these unsettled times, it’s just better to be on the right side of global economic forces rather than bet on the prospects for individual equities. → Read More

Is This a Stock Picker’s Market? It’s Complicated

In these unsettled times, it’s just better to be on the right side of global economic forces rather than bet on the prospects for individual equities. → Read More

Bitcoin's Fair Value Is Tied to Gold and Tech Stocks

Just four factors explain 88% of the variance in the digital currency’s price over the last four years. → Read More

Senators Treat Crypto Like a Digital New Jersey Turnpike

A blueprint for regulation runs roughshod over the desires and interests of people building or using crypto services. → Read More

SEC Proposals for ESG Ignore 80 Years of Financial Science

The regulator has some valid concerns about “greenwashing,” but its solutions are straight out of the New Deal, top-down playbook from the 1930s. → Read More