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On this week’s Regression Report, let’s focus on a month-long sample of Batting Average On Balls In Play (BABIP), perhaps the most popular regression indicator for hitters, at least in terms of gauging the sustainability of their associated batting average ... → Read More
All statistics are agnostic–they present information and leave the analysis to us. Perhaps left-on-base rate (LOB%) is especially so, thanks in large part to its simplicity. This statistic means pretty much exactly what it says it means: it lists the ... → Read More
With the All-Star Break upon us, now is the time to take a quick breather from the rigors of daily roster management to consider what moves can be made to prepare our teams for contention. Which under-owned players are worth ... → Read More
The early summer months have seen a host of fantasy-viable starter callups, signaling a rush to the waiver wire for fantasy owners struggling to keep their heads above water in the increasingly dire pitching landscape. Many of the fresh new ... → Read More
With the halfway point of the fantasy season fast approaching, now is as good a time to take stock of some hitters whose hot and cold stretches decorated the Regression Report earlier in the year. Which players have seen regression ... → Read More
On this week’s Regression Report, let’s follow through on my approach for hitters last week, focusing on the most recent month-long sample for three key stats that allow us to zero in on possible candidates for positive and negative regression, ... → Read More
Here once again are your tiered Two-Start Pitcher Rankings for this upcoming week. As always, pitching rotations are constantly changing due to inclement weather, unforeseen injury, performance hiccups, DL shenanigans, and so forth. May your spirits and your place in the standings ... → Read More
Now that we’ve got two months of MLB play under our proverbial belts, let’s check in on a few pitchers who we discussed in earlier editions of the Regression Report when samples were a bit smaller and rest-of-season prospects were a ... → Read More
Here are your lovingly tiered Two-Start Pitcher Rankings for this upcoming week. As always, remember that pitching rotations are constantly changing due to weather, injury, performance woes, DL shenanigans, and so forth. At the risk of tempting fate, break a leg ... → Read More
Michael Wacha hasn’t exactly been dominant this year, but with a major step up in his K/9 and a 3.49 FIP to back up his solid 3.66 ERA, the Cardinals righty has certainly been a solid standard-league asset, especially in ... → Read More
May has seen it’s fair share of breakouts and flame-outs, with castaways like Mark Reynolds and Yonder Alonso mashing and seemingly reliable studs like Anthony Rizzo and Carlos Gonzalez floundering. But any given player can seem like a surging stud ... → Read More
These are troubling times. Fantasy pitching staffs have been shredded. The red-inked “DL” marker is by now a ubiquitous and dreadful flourish. Few owners, if any, count starter depth as a luxury. As a result, the starter market is as ... → Read More
With one month of baseball in the books, things are starting to take shape, both for teams in the real game and for the teams in our fantasy leagues. Hot streaks are beginning to feel like real trends, while ice-cold slumps ... → Read More
For all of the unexpected injuries and frustrating setbacks that have befallen the upper echelon of fantasy starters, there is no shortage of impressive up-and-comers poised to take the reigns. The question, of course, is which breakout starter performances are ... → Read More
On last week’s inaugural Regression Report, our cautiousness towards limited sample size moved us to focus solely on starting pitchers. Now that most every-day offensive players have close to 50 plate appearances under their belts, we can make up for ... → Read More
Even though many treat regression as a stand-in for “getting worse,” it’s important to remember that the concept doesn’t only entail negative trends. Regression is a quality-neutral concept–it essentially means “returning towards our baseline expectation.” So, for a player like ... → Read More
With a myriad of injury woes rendering the current crop of reliable fantasy starters much thinner than than it was this time last year, the prospect of taking calculated risks at the positional is as viable as ever. These five starters ... → Read More
An argument can be made that the present talent glut at all four infield positions makes high-risk players at those positions much less attractive. The counter to that argument is the “rising tides lift all boats” theory, which is to ... → Read More
Tolerance for risk is one of the defining factors of each fantasy owner’s approach to the game. Some owners thrive on risk; others avoid it religiously; some sprinkle in a few high-variance plays with their bankable standbys. With their sky-high ... → Read More
Pitchers are waves, not straight lines. A step or two forward, a step or two back, or so the cliché goes. This is part of what makes assessing pitchers so challenging. And pitching hinges so much on the vagaries of ... → Read More