Alex Samuels, FiveThirtyEight

Alex Samuels

FiveThirtyEight

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Recent:
  • FiveThirtyEight
Past:
  • Texas Tribune
  • Houston Public Media
  • The Daily Dot
  • USA TODAY

Recent articles by Alex:

What Will New Leadership In Congress Mean For Democrats?

House Democrats officially elected New York Rep. Hakeem Jeffries to be their leader this past weekend, coalescing around a fresher face as the new Republican ma… → Read More

How Americans Really Feel About Elon Musk

Hint: His unscientific polls don’t tell us much. → Read More

These 5 Voters Of Color Don’t Want Biden vs. Trump In 2024

Welcome to Voices Of Color, a column that explores what’s on the minds of voters of color in this year’s midterm elections. Too often, media coverage focuses on… → Read More

Georgia Can’t Be Reduced To One Political Color

Why red, blue and purple can only tell us so much. → Read More

Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate Seat

The scene at the Warnock watch party, just as CNN called the race for him. → Read More

Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate Seat

At Walker’s event, there were immediate cheers and raucous applause after the Republican took a very narrow lead in tonight’s race. With roughly 62 percent of t… → Read More

The Case For Walker. The Case For Warnock.

Who will win today’s runoff? Here, I walk through each candidate’s advantages and disadvantages in a minute and a half. → Read More

How Either Candidate Could Win Georgia’s Senate Runoff

Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker are headed to a runoff in Georgia’s Senate race next week after neither surpassed the 50 percent … → Read More

If Biden Doesn’t Run In 2024, Who Will?

Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgia’s second Senate runoff in two years. They also review Democrats’ agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. → Read More

Congress Will Have The Most Black Republicans In Over A Century

But that’s not saying a lot. → Read More

Runoffs Are Sort Of Georgia’s Thing Now

Can Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock pull off another Senate runoff win? → Read More

Final Forecast: How Arizona, Oregon And Other States Will Vote For Governor

With all the hubbub over the horse race, it might have been easy to forget that there are 36 governors’ races taking place tonight, too. But the results of thes… → Read More

What Happens If Georgia’s Senate Race Goes To A Runoff — Again?

As recently as a few weeks ago, the Georgia Senate race seemed to be tipping toward incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock. A string of controversies plagued the Re… → Read More

How 5 Voters Of Color Are Thinking About The Economy

Welcome to Voices Of Color, a column that explores what’s on the minds of voters of color in this year’s midterm elections. Too often, media coverage focuses on… → Read More

What Happened To Stacey Abrams?

Four years ago, Stacey Abrams had the world at her feet. Yes, she had just lost Georgia’s gubernatorial race to Gov. Brian Kemp by fewer than 60,000 votes — but… → Read More

Will Republican Gains In South Texas Win Them More House Seats?

It was a question that befuddled election prognosticators and the media in the Lone Star State: How did then-President Donald Trump gain traction in or outright… → Read More

How 5 Asian American Voters Are Thinking About The Midterms

We talked to Asian American voters to see how they're thinking about 2022. → Read More

What Attacks On John Fetterman’s Health Reveal About Disability And Politics

In the months since John Fetterman had a stroke, the Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat has returned to the campaign trail and started doi… → Read More

Why The GOP Might Pick Up Colorado’s Newest District

During the reapportionment process after the 2020 census, Colorado was awarded an additional congressional district, giving it a total of eight. This new distri… → Read More

Are Democrats Heading For Another Disappointment In North Carolina?

For Democrats, North Carolina has recently been more of a white whale than a bird in hand. No Democrat has won a statewide federal race there since 2008, when f… → Read More