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CHINA EXTENDS INVASION DRILLS: What China initially said would be a four-day military exercise that would wrap up yesterday has been extended as Beijing continues threatening military exercises that have all the earmarks of a rehearsal for an eventual invasion. → Read More
‘SEIZING THE STRATEGIC INITIATIVE’: Russia is taking Ukraine's threat to retake the southern province of Kherson seriously, shifting forces from its eastern front to prepare for an expected Ukrainian assault to reclaim lost territory in the south. → Read More
DEMOCRACY VS. AUTOCRACY: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, defying threats from China and against the advice of the White House, landed in Taiwan last night and met today with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, delivering a strong pro-democracy message. → Read More
NOT-SO-SAFE HOUSE: With the Americans gone and a friendly Taliban in charge, 71-year-old al Qaeda leader Ayman al Zawahiri felt comfortable enough to move back into the tony Sherpur area of downtown Kabul, into a “safe house” owned by a top aide to senior Taliban leader Sirajuddin Haqqani. → Read More
PELOSI IN SINGAPORE: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and five fellow House Democrats arrived in Singapore this morning, the first stop on an Asian tour that may or may not include a controversial stop in Taiwan. → Read More
‘GATHERING MOMENTUM’: The latest British intelligence concludes Ukraine's long-awaited effort to retake the southern city of Kherson, which fell to Russian forces in early March, is having some initial success. → Read More
‘A DISTINCT TURNING POINT’: In Ukraine, the signs of a subtle battlefield shift are everywhere as President Volodymyr Zelensky announces the beginning of a counteroffensive in the south and Pentagon officials make plans to continue the flow of weapons for months to come. → Read More
In the intelligence game, there’s a saying: “Tell me what you know, tell me what you think, and make damn clear which is which.” → Read More
‘NOT LOST YET’: In a Pentagon briefing following a virtual meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley gave his assessment of what he called “a grinding war of attrition” in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region. For the Russians, he said, “the bottom line is, the cost is very high, the gains are very low.” → Read More
RUSSIAN PROGRESS SLOW: Ukraine continues to make effective use of U.S.-supplied HIMARS precision artillery rocket systems to degrade Russian forces, hitting and damaging a key bridge in the south that Russia needs to resupply its troops. → Read More
‘TOO SHORT FOR COMFORT’: With Iran declaring it now has the “technical means” to build a nuclear bomb, the Biden administration insists there is still time for Iran to accept a negotiated deal to avert a showdown that could lead to military conflict. → Read More
NDAA FOCUS SHIFTS TO SENATE: Members of Congress have a perennial ritual of patting themselves on the back for passing the annual defense policy bill, known as the National Defense Authorization Act, with a broad bipartisan consensus. This year was no exception. → Read More
‘AS A LAST RESORT, YES’: As he did in Tokyo two months ago, President Joe Biden, in a short, extemporaneous response to a reporter’s question, appeared to commit the U.S. to the use of military force in circumstances that could result in all-out war. → Read More
‘REGROUP, REST, REFIT’: As the war in Ukraine approaches the five-month mark, Russian forces in the eastern Donbas region appear to be licking their wounds as they prepare for a mid-summer offensive to secure more gains in Ukraine’s industrial heartland. → Read More
FIRST STOP, ISRAEL: President Joe Biden will depart Joint Base Andrews at 10 p.m. for an overnight flight to Jerusalem, Israel, the first stop on a trip that Biden says is intended to shore up stability in the region and that later this week will bring the U.S. president face to face with Saudi… → Read More
THE HIMARS FACTOR: Ukraine has only a small number of the satellite-guided U.S. rocket artillery system known as HIMARS, an acronym for High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, a shoot-and-scoot mobile launcher that can put a munition on a target with precision accuracy. → Read More
Increasingly viewed as too woke or too extremist, fewer young people have any interest in joining. → Read More
SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE CONTINUES ‘REGARDLESS OF WHAT GOVERNMENT IS IN POWER’: The dramatic end of Boris Johnson’s tenure as British prime minister should have no effect on international support for Ukraine, a key White House aide said yesterday as it became clear that Johnson’s resignation was becoming inevitable. → Read More
OUTGUNNED VS. UNDERMANNED: Like battered prize fighters staggering into the late rounds, both the Russian invaders and Ukrainian defenders have been worn down by the intense artillery duel that inflicted heavy casualties on both sides. → Read More
‘RUSSIAN FORCES MAKING STEADY PROGRESS’: While the details of the battlefield reports differ, all sides agree that Russian troops, along with their separatist allies, have taken control of Lysychansk, the last stronghold of Ukrainian forces in Luhansk province. → Read More