Nathan L. Gonzales
Roll Call
Washington, DC, United States
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Past articles by Nathan:
5 districts that changed so much, so fast, you could get whiplash
Political change often takes time. But in a handful of districts, the shift from red to blue or vice versa was dramatic, and they may not go back. → Read More
Despite Lipinski loss, beating incumbents in primaries is rare
Illinois Rep. Daniel Lipinski lost Tuesday's Democratic primary, but that's not a sign of an anti-incumbent sentiment building around the country. → Read More
Rating change: Bullock against Daines puts Montana in play
Inside Elections moves race rating from Solid to Lean Republican with incumbent Gov. Steve Bullock taking on Sen. Steve Daines. → Read More
Ratings changes: House control moving further away from GOP
Corrected Sunday 12:54 a.m. | On paper and in theory, Republicans’ chances of winning back the House look pretty good. But a district-by-district analysis reveals much longer odds, even if the Democrats nominate Bernie Sanders for president. Republicans need a net gain of 18 House seats for the majority. Considering 30 Democrats represent districts President … → Read More
Sharp tone matched high stakes in Nevada Democratic debate
Elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales wonders how much impact Bloomberg's bad night will have if most voters are more likely to see his ads. → Read More
Don’t expect senior citizens in presidential race to quit early
Former VP Joe Biden, 77, and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 78, know this is likely going to be their last shot at the presidency. → Read More
Trump’s speech rolled out Republicans’ blueprint for general election
One of Democrats’ biggest challenges of 2020 elections is to present a contrast to Trump without looking out of touch by downplaying a humming economy. → Read More
Rating change: With Hunter gone, California race shifts to Solid Republican
Hunter won in 2018 even though he was under indictment, which shows the underlying GOP strength of the southern California district. → Read More
Is Trump really the MVP of the GOP?
He flipped 3 states in 2016, but Trump may not be as amazing a candidate as he gets credit for, and his status as savior may be overrated, Gonzales writes. → Read More
Rating Change: Pompeo decision makes Kansas seat more vulnerable
The decision of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo not to run for Senate in Kansas creates a legitimate scenario for Democrats to win the seat. → Read More
Ratings change: GOP Senate chances improve in Georgia, decline in NC, Iowa
Even though the executive and legislative branches are different but coequal branches of government, their fates are electorally tied together this cycle. → Read More
9 things I think I think after the North Carolina redo election
Republicans spent more than $6 million holding an open seat that the president carried by double digits. → Read More
Rating changes in four House races, but Flores’ seat isn’t one of them
It’s not a question of if more House Members will retire; it’s a question of when and where, Nathan L. Gonzales writes. → Read More
Isakson’s decision adds competitive seat to 2020 Senate battleground
Georgia Republican Johnny Isakson’s resignation adds another seat to the 2020 Senate battleground and gives Democrats another takeover opportunity. → Read More
Trump missing an opportunity to burnish his legacy with gun law
President Donald Trump has forgotten who holds the power in the Republican Party: If anyone could stand up to the NRA, it's him. → Read More
After Marchant retirement, 24th District in Texas remains competitive
Marchant’s 24th District was competitive before he announced his retirement, so there is no change in the number of vulnerable GOP seats. → Read More
Ratings change: Hurd retirement moves Texas district toward Democrats
We’re changing our rating of Texas 23, currently held by the retiring Republican Will Hurd, from Toss-Up to Lean Democratic. → Read More
How recent House retirements change the battleground in Texas and Michigan
If Republicans are losing districts President Donald Trump won by 8 points in 2016, Inside Elections will be moving a lot more races than Olson’s in Texas. → Read More
Drawing new congressional lines won’t be easy for Democrats
People may believe the goal of political parties in redistricting is to create as many safe districts as possible. But that’s not the case. → Read More
Rating changes: Texas and Minnesota Senate races shift the Democrats’ way
In 2020 Senate races, the GOP faces difficulty defeating Minnesota's Tina Smith, while defending John Cornyn in Texas will drain resources. → Read More