Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call

Stuart Rothenberg

Roll Call

Washington, DC, United States

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Recent:
  • Unknown
Past:
  • Roll Call
  • Washington Post
  • HNN

Past articles by Stuart:

A boost for Buttigieg and concerns for Biden and Warren

In one respect, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg “won” the Iowa caucuses Monday regardless whether he finishes first in delegates or in popular votes. → Read More

With Iowa and New Hampshire still up in the air, Democratic race has 2016 echoes

The impeachment trial of Donald Trump will likely end soon, at which point the attention will swing toward the presidential nominating contest. → Read More

The Steyer boomlet

Once again, there is a new “hot” candidate. This time it’s billionaire Tom Steyer, who has shown enough polling strength to qualify for debates. → Read More

Beware confirmation bias with the 2020 presidential race

There is a long list of things to explain what is going on in the presidential contest. Many of them will need to be revised eventually, Rothenberg writes. → Read More

The fight for the Senate grows more interesting

The fight for control of the Senate continues to get very interesting, with recent developments slightly benefiting Democrats. → Read More

Do Democrats need a backup plan?

Former first lady Michelle Obamahas disavowed any interest in running for president. But she would have plenty of assets if she did run, Rothenberg writes. → Read More

How third-party votes sunk Clinton, what they mean for Trump

For all the talk why Donald Trump was elected president while losing the popular vote and how he could win again, third-party votes offer a key lesson. → Read More

When Trump attacks, the base turns out — for both parties

President Donald Trump knows how to fire up his base — by attacking Democrats, especially the squad. But it also fires up Democrats. → Read More

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, are we doing this again?

Amy McGrath is running for Senate in Kentucky, hoping to topple Mitch McConnell. But the fundamentals of the state make it a difficult task for her. → Read More

What we can learn from the 2004 presidential race

Beware reading too much into presidential polls. Take, for example, the 2004 presidential race. → Read More

How many ways is Michigan in play in 2020?

Michigan will be a major political proving ground in 2020, with a marquee Senate race and the presidential contest being important. → Read More

The 8 Senate races likely to determine control of the chamber

The fight for the Senate starts off with only a handful of seats at risk. And that’s being generous, → Read More

Will the Supreme Court save the GOP from itself on abortion?

Social conservatives cheering the rash of state laws limiting legal abortion might want to be careful what they wish for, Rothenberg writes. → Read More

What if Trump-Haley deadlocks with Buttigieg-Biden in 2020? Anything’s possible

Enough weird things have happened politically in recent years, we should prepare for something strange to happen in 2020, Stu Rothenberg writes. → Read More

The most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020

Cory Gardner of Colorado is the most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020, even though in normal circumstances he would be a lock for re-election. → Read More

Democrats are right to be wary of Howard Schultz

The frenzy over businessman Howard Schultz’s announcement that he is considering an independent run for president is understandable. → Read More

What do Democrats want in a president? Part I

What qualities and characteristics do Democrats in primaries and caucuses likely to value as the 2020 presidential race comes into focus? → Read More

Has the shutdown changed Trump’s political standing?

President Donald Trump has not seen a shutdown dip in his approval ratings thus far, but that does not mean he is out of the woods yet. → Read More

Susan Collins has a 2020 problem

If Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, runs for a fifth term, she ought to expect a very different race than in the past. Forget coasting to victory. → Read More

Can Doug Jones win a full term in Alabama?

Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., faces voters again in 2020, and it will likely be a different dynamic than the one that got him elected in 2017. → Read More