Ariane Tabatabai, Vox

Ariane Tabatabai


Washington, DC, United States

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  • Unknown
  • Vox
  • NPR
  • RAND Corporation
  • Foreign Affairs
  • BulletinOfTheAtomic
  • Slate
  • Belfer Center
  • The Atlantic

Past articles by Ariane:


Why Iran is still attacking American troops during the pandemic

Iran is using the United States as a scapegoat amid the coronavirus pandemic. → Read More


Opinion: Iran's Aggression Continues Even Amid Coronavirus And 'Maximum Pressure'

Hawks argue the Trump administration's approach to Tehran is working, but recent events clearly demonstrate that Iran has not been cowed, argue Ariane Tabatabai and Colin P. Clarke. → Read More

Rohani vs the Revolutionary Guards: Can Iran's president still prevent escalation with America?

Confronted by the Trump administration’s 'maximum pressure' policy and by hardliners at home, Iran's Rohani is fighting a losing battle for negotiations, not conflict, with the U.S. → Read More

Can the U.S. Attain Foreign Policy Goals with 'Maximum Pressure' Campaigns?

The Trump administration's record in two of today's most pressing nuclear nonproliferation challenges, North Korea and Iran, highlights the potential dangers of a “maximum pressure” strategy. → Read More

The U.S. Designated the Revolutionary Guards as a Terrorist Group. What Happens Next?

The U.S. designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization was meant to serve America's interests by isolating Iran. Instead, it may increase the likelihood of a tit-for-tat escalation that will require significant resources to avoid a broader regional conflagration. → Read More

Withdrawing From Syria Leaves a Vacuum That Iran Will Fill

An American withdrawal from Syria would provide Iran with the operational space to expand its growing network of Shiite foreign fighters, who can be mobilized and moved throughout the Middle East. If Iran’s leaders see this as a worthwhile strategy whose benefits outweigh its costs, the network could grow from a regional threat to a global one, ultimately creating more → Read More

Is Major Realignment Taking Place in the Middle East?

Alignments in the Middle East have long been shifting tectonic plates. The most significant development has been Turkey’s drift away from the United States and toward Iran and Russia. → Read More

The Islamic Republic's Foreign Policy at Forty

Forty years have passed since the Islamic Revolution. While Iran hasn't departed from its revolutionary roots, its foreign policy today is largely shaped by threat perceptions and interests, not ideology. → Read More

Can Anyone Save the Iran Nuclear Deal Now?

Europe faces mounting pressure from both Tehran and Washington regarding the Iran nuclear deal. European countries could take steps to signal their commitment to upholding the deal, but doing so may alienate the United States. → Read More

A Brief History of Iranian Fake News

Iranian disinformation campaigns are as old as the Islamic Republic itself. → Read More

Will China Undermine Trump's Iran Strategy?

For the better part of two decades, Iran’s leadership has been hedging against international isolation by developing deeper ties with China and Russia. → Read More

How Iran Will Determine the Nuclear Deal's Fate

Iran's foreign policy decision-making process is not a simple top-down exercise by the Supreme Leader but the result of a complex push and pull within a web of organizations. → Read More

Post-Iran deal, the US needs a plan to keep nuclear weapons from spreading

On May 8, President Donald Trump announced that he was pulling the United States out of the nuclear deal with Iran, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Just hours later, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir told CNN that his country would “do whatever it takes to protect our people. → Read More

How Iran Would React if Trump Bails on the Nuke Deal

It won’t spark an emergency. But it will be a slow-motion crisis with epic consequences. → Read More

The Price of Breaking the Iran Deal

Ilan Goldenberg and Ariane Tabatabai analyze the consequences of U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA. → Read More

What are Iranian hardliners saying on social media?

In the summer of 2009, when millions of protesters took to the streets of Iranian cities, the way they used social media to organize and disseminate information made headlines around the globe. That season’s unrest, sparked by the fraudulent reelection of hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, became known as the Green Movement. It faded after a few months, and the Islamic Republic soon… → Read More

The Bolton threat to the Iran nuclear deal

On the campaign trail, Donald Trump often denounced the failures of the US foreign policy establishment, including the trigger-happy Washington insiders who, too often, had led the country down the path of devastating wars. → Read More

The Bolton Threat to the Iran Nuclear Deal

Ariane Tabatabai examines Bolton's worldview, nonproliferation track record, and stance on Iran. → Read More

Why Regime Change in Iran Wouldn't Work

Both supporting an Iranian faction more friendly to the United States and invading the country and replacing its institutions would fail. → Read More

Why Regime Change Wouldn't End Iran's Nuclear Program

As the country's history shows, a different regime in Iran will not necessarily lead to a shift in its nuclear policy. → Read More