Geoffrey Skelley
FiveThirtyEight
Charlottesville, VA, United States
Contact Geoffrey
Discover and connect with journalists and influencers around the world, save time on email research, monitor the news, and more.
| Recent: |
|
| Past: |
|
Past articles by Geoffrey:
The House Is About To Have 435 Members. That’s Pretty Rare.
When Virginia state Sen. Jennifer McClellan is sworn into the House of Representatives this evening, Congress’s lower chamber will be something it hasn’t been i… → Read More
Do Americans Like Donald Trump, Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis?
The picture remains fuzzy, but the 2024 presidential candidate field is starting to come into focus. As the nomination contests develop over the coming months, … → Read More
Which Republicans Could Vote For A Debt Ceiling Increase?
A look at the GOP Senate and House caucuses ahead of 2023’s key legislative fight. → Read More
How This Debt Ceiling Debate Could End
And why it could be either better or worse than 2011. → Read More
New Yorkers Aren’t The Only Ones Who Really Dislike George Santos
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. In one of America’s most enduring myths, President George Washington damaged his father’s cherry tree with … → Read More
How Donald Trump’s Unusual Presidential Comeback Could Go
History presents three possible paths. → Read More
Adam Schiff’s Unlikely To Be The Last Major Democrat To Join California’s U.S. Senate Race
During Donald Trump’s presidency, few U.S. House members grabbed more headlines than Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff of California. Schiff’s lead role in Trump’s fi… → Read More
Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Here Are The Races To Watch.
President this, Senate that. FiveThirtyEight has already expended ample digital ink looking ahead to the elections that will take place in 2024, including the n… → Read More
When Might Other Republicans Challenge Trump For The 2024 Nomination?
Last month, former President Donald Trump announced his campaign to return to the White House, more than a year before the start of the 2024 presidential primar… → Read More
The Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate
How Democrats broadened Biden’s 2020 coalition in key states. → Read More
We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024
The 2022 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, but Americans have only begun to process the ramifications on politics and government. Although Republicans to… → Read More
Why Kyrsten Sinema Left The Democratic Party
Remember when Georgia’s runoff gave Democrats 51 seats in the U.S. Senate? Well, Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema said not so fast, my friend: This morning, Sinema a… → Read More
Republicans Still Have A Clear Path To Retaking The Senate In 2024
In a bit of electoral déjà vu, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock won Georgia’s runoff on Tuesday, almost two years after he won a special election runoff to help … → Read More
Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate Seat
There are 159 counties in Georgia, 144 of which now have reported at least 95 percent of their expected vote. In those counties, Walker leads by 24.2 points aft… → Read More
Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate Seat
We’ve got 131 counties that have reported at least 95 percent of their expected vote, and collectively, Walker leads by 21.5 points in them. But Walker led by 2… → Read More
Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate Seat
We now have 95 percent or more of the expected vote reporting from 93 counties, more than half of the 159 in Georgia. In those counties, which are mostly GOP-he… → Read More
How Trump And Kemp Have Influenced Georgia’s Senate Race
Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp and former President Donald Trump have stood out for their roles in Georgia’s 2022 Senate race — but for very different reasons. Trump w… → Read More
How Americans Feel About Qatar Hosting The World Cup
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. On Tuesday, the U.S. men’s national team defeated Iran 1-0 in a grueling soccer match to advance to the 202… → Read More
A Red Wave In Florida. A Blue Riptide In Michigan.
Where Democratic and Republican House candidates outperformed their district’s partisanship in the 2022 midterm elections. → Read More
2022 Election: Live Analysis and Results
We’ve now entered Election Week, the magical time when we await vote updates from the counties in states like Arizona and Nevada as they work to process and cou… → Read More