Kirk Mellish, WSB Radio

Kirk Mellish

WSB Radio

Kennesaw, GA, United States

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Past articles by Kirk:

January averaged colder and drier than normal in much of Georgia

I am expecting the weather pattern to continue to alternate between periods of below-normal and periods of above-normal temperatures into the first week or two of March before Spring can take control. No serious winter precip in sight TFN for now but something could always come along before that firm Spring pattern becomes established. → Read More

Weather regime shift continues to look possible for January

It's a waiting game to see when the models are able to latch on to the larger scale broad indicators for a jet stream pattern change to more winter for much of the country East of the Rockies next month. So far they show it then pull it away, mostly favoring continued warmth for the SE USA. → Read More

November temperature roller coaster

Chilly this week into the weekend with the lowest readings of the fall season to date on the weekend as an upper level jet stream trough swings through, patchy frost possible. → Read More

Autumn color change update

Fall Colors continue to progress, and have really kicked into high gear over the past 5 days or so. The cooler temperatures are helping. Really nice color can be seen at most elevations, with elevations from 3,000 - 4,000 peaking now and over the next few days. → Read More

WHY the big change in weather coming?

A big change is coming as we go from a high pressure ridge Wednesday to the formation of a deep closed upper-level cut-off low aloft into the weekend. → Read More

What models are showing for the coming winter

As long time followers know I don't always agree with numerical models when I make my official winter outlook. Or any other forecast for that matter even short-term. → Read More

A La Nina Winter expected

This has implications for the coming winter. → Read More

General weather outlook next 4 weeks

Synoptic Weather 101 is the relationship between troughs and ridges in the jet stream flow pattern and temperature/precipitation. → Read More

Heat will come back

After our period of more comfortable weather, another mini heat wave in the cards → Read More

Heat Wave – 95.5 WSB

The headline making heat dome of many weeks is projected to edge East over the next week or so before retreating back North and West with time. → Read More

Tropics quiet in the Atlantic for now

A fast start to the hurricane season with 5 named storms has now gone dormant East and South of the USA. → Read More

Elsa effects here slight to minimal

Baring a significant last minute change in the forecast path or intensity (always possible) the impact of Elsa on Metro Atlanta will just be to push tropical humidity our way and with that the return of a summertime chance of a shower or thunderstorm. TUESDAY MORNING: Forecast surface chart Tuesday morning TUESDAY EVENING: Forecast surface chart Tuesday evening WEDNESDAY MORNING: Forecast… → Read More

Preliminary outlook for Summer

The data both model variety and non-model types all show a strong signal for a warmer than normal April and May as well as a warmer than normal summer in the Southeast and most of the country for that matter. But the models and analog methods (analogs use past history as a guide, models use equations) are more divergent with some quite dry and some quite wet, making the rainfall outlook one of… → Read More

The models continue to suggest a more winter-like pattern for much of the U.S.

This blog post is a follow-up to several prior including this one As of now I DO NOT see any extreme weather for Atlanta the next 10 days. The change in the jet stream pattern is a gradual evolution not a snap of the finger, but the models continue to suggest the prevailing storm tracks slowly but steadily sinking farther and farther South with time the rest of this month into February,… → Read More

Blocking of the jet stream related to Sudden Stratospheric Warming event and -AO/NAO underway

Major long-lasting record cold coming to Georgia soon? NOPE. There are just hints from modeling and signals, but not just cold signals, a danger (if you love snow) for warmth to come exists as well. I don’t worship models and waste my time with what they show beyond 192 hours for specifics, I only look for signs. Whoever wants to do the other can but leave me out of it. If I have something to… → Read More

Brief polar plunge still in store for Christmas – 95.5 WSB

This cold snap will in fact be a snap, in and out very quickly. A warming trend starts Sunday. First heavy rain and strong gusty winds 30 MPH or higher and maybe isolated thunder along and ahead of the strong cold front on Thursday. Tree limbs or trees could fall causing an isolated power outage or isolated damage. But no widespread severe thunderstorms expected for the Atlanta area. Best chance… → Read More

After a warm-up, another cold wave in time for Christmas – 95.5 WSB

Here is an example for THIS MONTH of a phony baloney model snow forecast map made Dec 8th for TODAY! Big snow? Nope, sunshine. So just ignore that kind of BS when a clown person or APP shows it or you see it on social media: Ignore junk like this Classic example of junk people put on social media from Brad Panovich. At least 1 inch of snow on the ground Chart from TDS weather ACCUMULATING snow… → Read More

Oh ho the mistletoe, repeating weather refrain – 95.5 WSB

The models have been somewhat consistent in depicting yet another North to South jog in the jet stream flow with a deep mid-level (500mb) trough developing into the Southeast around Christmas eve or day, suggestive of another “Miller” system of some sort and another shot at another Nor’easter eventually around that time frame. Note the similarities to the generalized North American flow pattern… → Read More

Miller A and Bs continue to show up – 95.5 WSB

If you’re new to following me on Twitter or here in the blog I’ve explained dozens of times the importance of a Miller A or an A-B hybrid to winter weather in the South. You can use a search engine to go in-depth if you’re unfamiliar. What’s interesting is how often they’ve been showing up this Autumn and start to winter season after years of being MIA. The next Miller A brings Atlanta rain… → Read More

Sudden taste of winter – 95.5 WSB

Most of metro Atlanta will experience a hard freeze tonight, with some snow accumulation expected in the north Georgia mountains. → Read More