Duncan Weldon, The Guardian

Duncan Weldon

The Guardian

United Kingdom

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Past articles by Duncan:

The Big Idea: Do governments really control their economies?

With markets, technocrats and voters on their backs, can politicians change anything? → Read More

Condemned to be liberal: why Britain can’t easily break with economic laissez-faire

Politicians are talking big about a new "hands on" economics. But centuries of "hands-off" history shape the mindset of them, British managers and even the British trade unions → Read More

Operation Frantic: America and Russia’s joint plan to battle the Nazis

They had high hopes, but at best Frantic was a strategic sideshow, at worst a waste of time → Read More

Economics and investment report: The spectre of “lowflation”

Is inflation dead or just hibernating? → Read More

The Brexiteer notion that we stood alone in the war is historically illiterate

Britain remained globalised and this was crucial to its success → Read More

Dominic Cummings reminds me of Yanis Varoufakis – he could face the same fate

The tactics of the No 10 adviser echo those of Greece’s finance minister in the 2015 crisis, says economist, writer and broadcaster Duncan Weldon → Read More

The global economic outlook: it’s not all gloom

The biggest risks come more from politics than economics → Read More

How much pocket money should an economist pay their children?

More importantly: at what age is my daughter old enough to understand compound interest? → Read More

US withdrawal from the Iran deal could seriously escalate the developing trade war

Attention has rightly focused on risk of actual war, but the harmful economic consequences of Trump’s action should not be overlooked → Read More

What would a British “It’s A Wonderful Life” have looked like?

For starters, George Bailey would have been a councillor → Read More

The Bank of England is about to score an own goal

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. Photo: Jonathan Brady/PA Wire/PA Images Tomorrow the Bank of England looks set to raise interest rates. This will be a mistake. Oxford Professor Simon Wren-Lewis and the Financial Times’ Martin Sandbu have neatly marshalled the evidence against a hike. In short—growth remains weak, inflation may be above target but that is almost entirely down to the… → Read More

The Bank of England looks set to hike interest rates—for rather an unusual reason

A rise in rates once meant that the economy was returning to normal health, but not this time → Read More

A 0.4% rise in GDP? That’s nothing to celebrate

In truth, prospects for other developed economies look set to improve while the UK’s outlook continues to darken, says Duncan Weldon, head of research at the Resolution Group → Read More

The three lessons Brexit Britain can learn from Greece

I covered the Greek debt crisis in 2015—and as Brexit negotiations continue the sense of déjà vu is profound → Read More

It’s the inequality, stupid: anyone who wants to understand the rise of Trump should read Wolff

Want to know why Trump really won? A breathtaking new economic analysis has some answers → Read More

Britain’s productivity crisis matters. Don’t expect Philip Hammond to mention it

Slower economic growth is being predicted, and it’s going to harm living standards, says Duncan Weldon, head of research at the Resolution Group → Read More

What did business make of the two main party conferences?

“We appear to be being offered Singapore-Upon-Thames or Stalingrad-Upon-Thames and we don’t really want either” → Read More

Eurozone growth is accelerating—a hard Brexit could see us struggle to keep up

For all the talk of economic turmoil in Europe, signs point to the Eurozone doing well. Photo: Pexel Read much of the British press’s output on the European economy and it won’t be long before you come across words like “sclerotic”, “stagnant” or “moribund.” There is a peculiar type of glee that is found in talking up the Euro’s inevitable demise; doubly peculiar when one considers that a… → Read More

Ignore the naysayers—a higher minimum wage makes sense

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn launches his party’s 2017 election manifesto. The party would raise the minimum wage to £10 by 2020 Photo: Isabel Infantes/EMPICS Entertainment Whether the next prime minister is Theresa May or Jeremy Corbyn, one thing looks certain—the National Minimum Wage (or the National Living Wage as George Osborne rather cheekily rebranded it) is set to rise. The Conservatives… → Read More

We must pay more tax, or be complicit in the slow death of public services

Philip Hammond’s retreat on national insurance bodes ill for the role of the state as British people have known it since 1945 → Read More