Jay Boice
FiveThirtyEight
Amherst, MA, United States
Contact Jay
Discover and connect with journalists and influencers around the world, save time on email research, monitor the news, and more.
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Past articles by Jay:
2023 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. → Read More
The Most Exciting Super Bowls Ever Were Decided By A Few Stunning Plays
There are plenty of reasons to think Sunday’s Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will be an instant classic. The teams are evenly… → Read More
How Our 2022 World Cup Predictions Work
The World Cup is back, and so is another edition of FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup predictions. For those of you familiar with our club soccer predictions or our 2… → Read More
2022 World Cup Predictions
FiveThirtyEight's World Cup forecasting model calculates each team's chances of winning each match and reaching each round. → Read More
Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine
Move players around and make “trades” to change FiveThirtyEight’s NBA predictions. → Read More
2022-23 NBA Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. → Read More
Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?
Can you outsmart our NFL picks? FiveThirtyEight forecasts every game using an Elo-based model. See if you can do better. → Read More
2022 NFL Predictions
FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. → Read More
Explore The Ways Republicans Or Democrats Could Win The Midterms
Choose whether a Republican or Democrat will win each race in the 2022 midterm elections and we’ll recalculate each party’s chances of winning control of Congress. → Read More
How Our MLB Forecast Is Changing For 2022
How changes in the game affect our baseball projections. → Read More
2022 Women’s March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. → Read More
2022 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. → Read More
The NFL Really Does Revolve Around Tom Brady
In the NFL, Tom Brady is a tough QB to escape. We traced his connections to other quarterbacks through the touchdown-catching receivers they share. → Read More
2021-22 NBA Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. → Read More
Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine
Move players around and make “trades” to change FiveThirtyEight’s NBA predictions. → Read More
2021 NFL Predictions
FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. → Read More
Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?
Can you outsmart our NFL picks? FiveThirtyEight forecasts every game using an Elo-based model. See if you can do better. → Read More
How To Play Our NFL Forecasting Game
Since 2014, FiveThirtyEight has used Elo ratings to assess and predict NFL games. But while we love Elo, we were curious: Can you forecast the games better than… → Read More
2021 WNBA Schedule And Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s WNBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the WNBA Finals. → Read More
2021 MLB Predictions
FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. → Read More