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The Saudi Arabia-led cut in OPEC+ oil production — which is driving up gas prices and ignores U.S. pleas to isolate Russia — may not be a deliberate “October Surprise” aimed at hurting Democrats, but it’s still screwing over Biden. → Read More
The crisis in global energy markets, including historically high gas prices, is just one of many geopolitical and economic realities forcing President Joe Biden to shake hands with Saudi crown prince — and known murderer — Mohammed bin Salman. → Read More
The blockade of grain exports is exacerbating already high food prices and raising the risk of famine and instability across the world. → Read More
Russian president Vladimir Putin may declare victory over Ukraine on Russia’s Victory Day on May 9 — or the autocrat may expand the scope of his disastrous war. → Read More
The withdrawal of Russian forces from around Kyiv provides some respite, but the fighting will intensify elsewhere, and the horrors keep coming, including evidence of war crimes in Russian occupied areas. The path to peace remains uncertain. → Read More
Removing Vladimir Putin from power would pave a path to peace in Ukraine and reopen the world’s doors to Russia, but the only way regime change will work is if it comes nonviolently from within, and the U.S. has limited options to help. → Read More
Vladimir Putin’s debacle of a war in Ukraine is already blowing up in his and Russia’s face. Ukraine’s fierce resistance, the unified international response, and Russia’s newfound diplomatic and economic isolation points to a fatal miscalculation. → Read More
President Putin has ordered Russian troops over the border into two regions of Ukraine held by separatists. It’s possible he’ll settle for annexing that territory. Otherwise, a full-scale war and occupation would be disastrous. → Read More
President Biden’s controversial plan to divide billions in frozen Afghan funds between 9/11 families and humanitarian relief is unlikely to help many Afghans or successfully punish the Taliban. → Read More
After years of festering tension and a buildup of Russian forces along the Ukrainian border, diplomacy by the Biden administration, Europe, and Russia could still prevent the crisis from spiraling into war, but the window of opportunity is closing. → Read More
The widening conflict between government forces and rebels in the Tigray region has resulted in one of the world’s largest humanitarian crises and led to allegations of genocide and other atrocities. → Read More
A huge shift in Washington’s strategic approach to China was bound to piss some people off. → Read More
Taliban leaders do not appear to have the political or management skills to run the country effectively. The consequences could be disastrous. → Read More
Following reports of horrifying persecution of the Muslim minority group, including internment camps, forced labor, and sterilization, nations including the U.S. accused China of crimes against humanity and cracked down on Xinjiang cotton. → Read More
President Biden is choosing to act decisively rather than avoid the bad optics of bringing America’s two-decade military misadventure in Afghanistan to an end. The fall of Kabul and the Taliban’s return to power was inevitable. → Read More
The latest escalation of violence between Israel and Hamas has dashed prospects of a deal among the prime minister’s rivals to form a unity government, and given the politically embattled Netanyahu more time to figure out a way to hold onto power. → Read More
The Israeli-Palestinian conflict reignited this week in the worst violence since 2014, the last time Israel and the militant group Hamas, which rules the Gaza strip, came to blows. → Read More
America and the Biden administration can still make a big difference in the efforts to get COVID-19 vaccines into arms globally, but waiving IP protections may only be a gesture, and on vaccine diplomacy, Russia and China have a big head start. → Read More
This week, President Biden announced that he was pulling all U.S. forces out of Afghanistan by September 11. The pullout of U.S. troops will likely have tragic consequences for Afghans, but remaining indefinitely offers no clear path to victory. → Read More
The U.S and Iran are at odds over who should make the first move toward restoring the nuclear agreement. Indirect talks in Vienna this week will aim to bridge that gap. → Read More