Enda Curran
The Seattle Times
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Past articles by Enda:
There’s a job-market riddle at the heart of the coming recession
A glimmer of good news: Workers have a better-than-usual shot at holding onto their jobs if recession arrives. → Read More
How China’s Property Developers Got Into Such a Mess: QuickTake
Real estate matters a lot to China: Construction and property sales have been the biggest engines of economic growth since President Xi Jinping came to office a decade ago. Home prices skyrocketed — surging sixfold over the past 15 years — as an emerging middle class flocked to property as one of the few safe investments available. The boom led to speculative buying as new homes were pre-sold by… → Read More
Wall Street Says a Recession Is Coming. Consumers Say It’s Already Here
Shoppers are getting squeezed and money is disappearing fast → Read More
How China’s Property Developers Got Into Such a Mess
Real estate matters a lot to China: Construction and property sales have been the biggest engines of economic growth since President Xi Jinping came to office a decade ago. Home prices skyrocketed — surging sixfold over the past 15 years — as an emerging middle class flocked to property as one of the few safe investments available. The boom led to speculative buying as new homes were pre-sold by… → Read More
How China’s Property Developers Got Into Such a Mess: QuickTake
Real estate matters a lot to China: Construction and property sales have been the biggest engines of economic growth since President Xi Jinping came to office a decade ago. Home prices skyrocketed — surging sixfold over the past 15 years — as an emerging middle class flocked to property as one of the few safe investments available. The boom led to speculative buying as new homes were pre-sold by… → Read More
Understanding IPEF and How It Counters China’s Clout
First the US withdrew in 2017 from a pan-Pacific trade deal known as the TPP, which moved ahead without it under the new moniker CPTPP. Then the US stood on the sidelines as another regional grouping led by China, called the RCEP, entered into force this year. Now China is warily watching the US as it forms its own regional club, dubbed the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework. Questions remain as to… → Read More
Understanding IPEF and How It Counters China’s Clout: QuickTake
First the US withdrew in 2017 from a pan-Pacific trade deal known as the TPP, which moved ahead without it under the new moniker CPTPP. Then the US stood on the sidelines as another regional grouping led by China, called the RCEP, entered into force this year. Now China is warily watching the US as it seeks to form its own regional club, dubbed the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework. Questions… → Read More
How China’s Property Developers Got Into Such a Mess
Real estate matters a lot to China: Construction and property sales have been the biggest engines of economic growth since President Xi Jinping came to office almost a decade ago. Home prices have skyrocketed — surging sixfold over the past 15 years — as an emerging middle class flocked to property as one of the few safe investments available. The boom led to speculative buying as new homes were… → Read More
Trade Chaos, Goldman’s ECB Call, Powell’s Appearance: Eco Day
Welcome to Tuesday, Europe. Here’s the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help you start the day: → Read More
U.S. Payrolls, Lane’s Pushback, China’s Energy Crunch: Eco Day
Welcome to Friday, Europe. Here’s the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help you start the day: → Read More
Why Some Hong Kongers Are Leaving But Big Money Isn’t
China has effectively crushed Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement over the past year, calling into question the civil liberties and rule of law that helped make the city an international financial hub. Yet even as the U.S. government warns businesses about the risks -- and many activists and others in the former British colony seek to emigrate -- signs of an investor exodus are harder to find.… → Read More
World Economy Risks Buckling Into 2021 Despite Vaccine Nearing
The surging coronavirus is stoking fears of a fresh downturn for the world economy, heaping pressure on central banks and governments to lay aside other concerns and do more to spur demand. → Read More
China Opens Its Bond Market—With Unknown Consequences for World
China’s 2001 entry into the World Trade Organization transformed the global economic order. Yet even as China became the factory to the world, its financial system remained a closed shop, with strict controls on the flow of money in and out. → Read More
What’s the RCEP and What Happened to the TPP?
First President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from a 12-nation, pan-Pacific trade deal known as the TPP. Then Prime Minister Narendra Modi pulled India out of another regional grouping led by China known as the RCEP. In both cases, protectionism played a part; in both cases, the show went on without them. The question now is what the impact will be on American and Chinese efforts to boost their… → Read More
Derailing of Jack Ma’s Mega Ant IPO Shows Xi Jinping’s in Charge
(Bloomberg) -- China’s move to abruptly halt the world’s biggest stock-market debut sends global investors a clear message: Any financial opening will only be done on terms that benefit President Xi Jinping and the Communist Party. → Read More
The Global Economic Recovery Is Slowing From a Bounce to a Grind
The best is already over for a global economic recovery that started off at a sprint and is turning into a slog. That’s the warning from Wall Street economists heading into the final months of a traumatic year. → Read More
What Else Could Go Wrong for World Economy Before 2020 Is Done
The world economy’s rebound from the depths of the coronavirus crisis is fading. The concerns are multiple. → Read More
How the Fed Is Bringing an Inflation Debate to a Boil: QuickTake
There’s hardly any question that carries greater weight in economics right now, or divides the financial world more sharply, than whether inflation is on the way back. One camp is convinced that the no-expense-spared fight against Covid-19 has put developed economies on course for rising prices on a scale they haven’t seen in decades. The other one says the virus is exacerbating the conditions… → Read More
How the Shock Therapy of ‘Abenomics’ Worked in Japan
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe had a bold strategy: shock therapy for an economy that had been stagnant for 20 years and was overtaken by China as the world’s second-largest in 2010. Launched three years later, Abenomics, as the doctrine is known, departed from the piecemeal measures of previous leaders and antagonized powerful political constituencies. Abe told voters that the strong… → Read More
Abenomics Era Ends With Japan’s Economy Back at Square One
(Bloomberg) -- The almost 8-year era of Abenomics draws to a close with Japan’s economy right back at square one. Prices are flat lining and the deflationary mindset seems as entrenched as ever. → Read More