Steven Shepard
POLITICO
Washington, DC, United States
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Past articles by Steven:
Murkowski, Peltola win in Alaska
The Senate incumbent fended off a Trump-backed challenger, while voters returned the Democratic House member for a full term. → Read More
What the latest polls show about 2022's Senate swing state races
A raft of new polls this week in the key Senate battlegrounds showed GOP gains. → Read More
Election Forecast: Slate of races tilt toward GOP
Ten races out of 12 are moving toward Republicans in the latest round of updates. → Read More
Nevada looms as question mark in Democrats' Senate defense
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto has trailed in public polls for months. She inched in front in the latest one but still faces major obstacles. → Read More
The quants versus the forecasters
A SCIENCE AND AN ART — It’s the quants versus the pundits all over again. The biggest prize in November’s elections is control of the 50-50 Senate. That much everyone can agree on. But Democrats’ chances of retaining the chamber in an otherwise challenging midterm differ significantly depending on whom you ask. On one side are the poll-based modelers, like FiveThirtyEight and Decision Desk HQ.… → Read More
How the polls look in 2022's Senate swing states
The 50-50 Senate is still finely balanced a month out from Election Day, the latest surveys show. → Read More
Weak rural turnout could hurt GOP in November
A POLITICO analysis of turnout in this year’s special elections suggests that since Dobbs, rural voters are less motivated to cast ballots than others. → Read More
Pollsters fear they’re blowing it again in 2022
Democrats seem to be doing better than expected with voters. But if the polls are wrong, they could be disappointed in November — again. → Read More
Want to know if a red wave is happening? Watch this special election next week
The ultimate bellwether race — testing the potency of inflation vs. abortion as campaign focal points — is about to be decided in upstate New York. → Read More
Democrats boosted a MAGA longshot in the Pa. gov’s race. Now he’s got a real shot at winning.
State Republicans are coalescing behind Doug Mastriano, despite his perceived shortcomings as a candidate in the pivotal swing state. → Read More
Poll: Half of voters support maintaining Roe v. Wade
Only 11 percent say abortion should be “illegal in all cases.” → Read More
Why Kamala Harris is the frontrunner in a Biden-less field-
President JOE BIDEN has said he intends to run for reelection in 2024. If he doesn’t, however, Vice President KAMALA HARRIS is best positioned to take the party’s mantle. That’s not just because she’s currently first in line for the presidency. It’s because — despite a first year with bad headlines and some unforced errors — she has amassed a significant early lead among Black voters who have… → Read More
Supreme Court won't block new battleground state congressional maps
The high court turned away GOP efforts to block courts' redistricting in North Carolina and Pennsylvania. → Read More
House Dems on GOP's thin majority: Welcome to hell
After two years of late-night phone calls and countless painful negotiations, they're ready to watch Republicans navigate their own barely-there majority. → Read More
Rural Democrats stare into the abyss after Virginia
Rural Democrats say the party’s problems on their turf are twofold. → Read More
5 things we learned from Republicans’ big night
Republicans mounted a big comeback in elections in Virginia, New Jersey and other states. → Read More
5 things to watch when Virginia votes
Dive into the big geographic and demographic trends driving Tuesday's race for governor of Virginia. → Read More
The 5 key groups fueling Youngkin’s rise
Inside the numbers behind the Virginia Republican's rising standing in the polls. → Read More
The Biden objectors who hold the 2022 election in their hands
A quarter of those down on Biden's job performance say they "somewhat disapprove," helping his numbers slide — but also leaving Biden an opening. → Read More
Newsom's rebound papers over broader trouble for Democrats
The California governor has improved his position ahead of Tuesday’s recall election even as President Joe Biden has slipped. → Read More