Lance Roberts
Seeking Alpha
Houston, TX, United States
Contact Lance
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Past articles by Lance:
Bank Runs - The First Sign The Fed 'Broke Something.'
With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential “bank runs” spread among regional banks. → Read More
Bear Trap? Market Holds Critical Support
The market held the 200-DMA, which confirmed the bullish breakout above a level that proved to be resistance in 2022. → Read More
Retail Traders Go Bust As Speculation Inevitably Goes Wrong
Between “stimulus checks,” swelling bank accounts, no job to go to, and a free stock trading app on every phone, retail traders poured into the market chasing everything from... → Read More
'No Landing' Scenario At Odds With Fed's Goals
Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. → Read More
Recession Signal As Consumers Struggle To Pay Bills
Many analysts suggest the economy may have a soft landing, or, rather, avoid a recession. → Read More
The Correction May Have Started, Will Bulls Remain In Control?
When the market peaked in January 2022, everyone was exceedingly bullish, and no one was looking for a 20% decline. → Read More
Bullish Investors Continue To Fight The Fed
Instead of bullish investors sticking with their mantra of 'Don’t Fight The Fed,' it is now a standoff between bullish investors and the Fed. → Read More
The Technicals Vs. The Fundamentals
Our weekly technical composite gauge is not back into bull market mode as it has risen above a reading of 70. Such is the first time that measure was reached in over a year. → Read More
NFIB Survey Suggests A Recession Is Coming
The most recent NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) is sending a strong signal of an economic recession. → Read More
Recession Forecasts At Odds With Bullish Formations
Despite mounting evidence supporting recession forecasts, the stock market remains at odds with that outlook. → Read More
A 'Soft Landing' Scenario – Possibility Or Fed Myth?
The idea of a soft landing is only a reality if you exclude, in most cases, rather devasting financial consequences. Learn more about soft landing scenario. → Read More
Contrarian Trade - Everyone Remains Bearish
From a contrarian investing view, everyone remains bearish despite a market that corrected all of last year. Find out more here. → Read More
Is The Fed Trying To Wean Markets Off Of Monetary Policy?
Many suggest the Federal Reserve’s monetary interventions do not affect financial markets. However, the correlation between the two is extremely high. → Read More
The 'Pain Trade' Is Higher For Now
While the “pain trade” is higher for now, the challenge we have with the market “Fighting the Fed” is that historically such has not worked out well. → Read More
Home Prices Will Likely Fall Further
Home prices have started to correct as interest rates rose sharply in 2022. More inventory and few buyers will equate to a further price drop in the coming year. → Read More
The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig And Economic Python
The lag effect of monetary policy changes will surprise the Fed as the fiscal “pig” of stimulus begins to exit the economic “python.” → Read More
The Fed's '7% Solution' Won't Work This Time
Trying to increase the Fed funds rate to 7%, 2.5% higher than they are currently, risks triggering a catastrophically deep recession. → Read More
Forward Returns Will Disappoint Compared To The Past Decade
For many investors who started their investing journey following the financial crisis, forward returns will be disappointing compared to the last decade. → Read More
60/40 Portfolio Set To Outperform Over The Next Decade
With rising interest rates and inflation, such would seem a logical assumption. 2022 has been one of the worst years for returns from a 60/40 portfolio. → Read More
Why Gardening Can Help You Manage Your Portfolio Better
When it comes to the markets, seasons are dictated by the technical and economic constructs, and the cycles are dictated by valuations. → Read More