Rafael A. Mangual
Manhattan Institute
New York, NY, United States
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Past articles by Rafael:
NYC-Based Public Safety Reforms for 2023
Introduction During New York’s November 2022 elections, crime was a central issue in the races for governor and attorney general. Nevertheless, for now, it remains unclear (indeed unlikely) that power players in Albany will have the appetite to make significant alterations to recent legislative “reforms” associated with the state’s post-2020 crime surge. Those laws include the 2017 “Raise the… → Read More
MI Responds: Proposed Amendment to the Omnibus Crime Control and Safe Streets Act
MI scholars comment on proposed amendment to the Omnibus Crime Control and Safe Streets Act “American prosecutors are invested with great authority and responsibility. As with all elected officials, however, the public must not turn away from scrutinizing their performance and holding them... → Read More
Progressive Policies Won’t Stop the Crime Wave
An approach to crime-fighting that scorns policing and incarceration relies on empirical and conceptual errors. → Read More
Why cities can expect 2020's violent crime spike to last
Failing to connect the dots between depolicing, decarceration and crime, many jurisdictions continue to adopt measures that may make things worse. → Read More
Who Killed Adam Toledo?
How did a 13-year-old boy end up in an alley with a gun at 2:30 on a Monday morning? → Read More
Cities got deadlier in 2020: What's behind the spike in homicides?
2020 was a year marked by resurgent criminal violence that may spell serious trouble for American cities. → Read More
A Public Safety and Policing Plan for NYC's Next Mayor
In 2020, New York City saw the biggest one-year spikes in shootings and homicides—97% and 45%, respectively[1]—in more than a half-century; and 2021 is off to a discouraging start, as shootings across the city were up almost 42% through March 7.While much of the most serious violence has... → Read More
City Council Reforms Will Make NY Crime Worse
The city council’s new reform package offers little hope of getting crime under control. → Read More
Biden’s Soft-on-Crime Posture Will Wreak Havoc on US Cities
Criminal justice in America is at a crossroads. The election of President Biden — whose party is aligned with Black Lives Matter, who called Antifa “an idea” and who cites “systemic racism” as the major problem facing black Americans — will make the next four years challenging for... → Read More
The Homicide Spike Is Real
The uptick will be New York City’s most difficult challenge this year.New York City has finally closed the book on an abysmal year. It goes without saying that the biggest challenge for residents is still the Covid-19 pandemic, which has mercilessly pummeled the public and the economy.... → Read More
NYC Shootings Rise Despite Red Flag Gun Law
2020’s shooting spike portends dark days for New York City. → Read More
Ideas for the New Administration: Criminal Justice
Violent crime—homicides and shootings, in particular—was on the upswing in many American cities in 2020. → Read More
Soft on Crime
A Biden administration policy of weak policing and lax prosecution would be a disaster for the nation’s cities. → Read More
In Chicago the Line Between Peace and Chaos is Paper-Thin
Chicago’s safest neighborhoods start sharing in the Windy City’s crime outbreak. → Read More
The Dangers of Criminal-Justice Reform
How the growing trend of criminal-justice reform for its own sake will make policing riskier—and the city less safe → Read More
The ‘Fixes’ to New York’s No-Bail Law Don’t Do Nearly Enough
New York is the epicenter of America’s Covid-19 crisis, but it’s also the focal point of the national debate about reducing jail populations through bail reform. The pandemic has renewed calls to cut incarceration further, which may reinvigorate the bail-reform movement. But it’s... → Read More
The Risks of Bad Bail Reform Will Be Lasting
Adjustments to New York’s bail reform leave many of the law’s holes unplugged. → Read More
With Good Reason, Indeed
The best way to explain why we incarcerate so much is to explore what would happen if we didn’t. Unlike the other respondents, I have no real quarrels with the basic premise of Professor Latzer’s thoughtful, if (these days, anyway) contrarian, essay. If I must find a shortcoming with... → Read More
How New Jersey Did Bail Reform Better Than New York
Just two weeks after its official rollout, the early reviews for New York state’s bail-reform initiative are in, and they rival those of the movie “Cats,” which the Washington Post recently dubbed “The biggest disaster of the decade.” It turns out the public isn’t particularly... → Read More
Fathers, Families, and Incarceration
Evidence suggests that children are often better off when criminal parents are imprisoned. → Read More