Brian Gilmartin, Seeking Alpha

Brian Gilmartin

Seeking Alpha

Chicago, IL, United States

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Recent:
  • Unknown
Past:
  • Seeking Alpha

Past articles by Brian:

S&P 500 Earnings / The U.S. Economy Just Won't 'Break'

The Q4 2023 S&P 500 EPS growth is still reflecting 10% y.y, and it has not been revised down even though Q1 and Q2 ’23 EPS estimates continue to be revised lower. Read more here... → Read More

Walmart Post-Earnings: Q4 Was Solid, While EPS Guidance Scared The Street (NYSE:WMT)

Walmart inventory-to-sales ratio had the best quarter of the last 8 - returning to normal. Did the Q4 report make WMT stock a buy? Click to find out! → Read More

More Inflation (And GDP) Data This Week: The Fact Is Inflation Is Decelerating

With CPI inflation still declining, the tighter Fed policy is working. Friday’s PCE deflator could be the most important metric of the week, since it’s the Fed’s preferred inflation metric. → Read More

Style-Box Update: Growth Starts 2023 Well

Value outperformed growth smartly in 2022. Growth has narrowed the difference in 2023, but it’s still early in the year. Read more here... → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings: How Have Estimated 2023 Sector Growth Rates Changed Since 12/31/22?

Looking at the percentage change of a sector’s expected growth versus the overall expected growth rate gives a reader the magnitude of the impact of guidance on 2023’s expected growth. → Read More

Coca-Cola Earnings Preview: Sometimes Boring Is Good, Weaker Dollar Will Help

The strong dollar was a headwind in '22, although its real impact is on Coca-Cola margins from COGS impact. Read why I'm bullish on KO stock. → Read More

Intel: Tough Road Ahead, But The Stock Has Not Made A New Low (NASDAQ:INTC)

Intel's annual capex nut is still a long-term problem. Dividend could get eliminated, but INTC's senior unsecured credit rating by S&P/Moody's is still A-/A3. Read more here. → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings: Revisions Becoming Less Negative?

Given price action and market breadth, I’m still leaning positive for the S&P 500 to definitely break the downtrend line in place since January ’22. → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings: Weakness Expected Through Mid-2023

Q4 ’22 and H1 '23 are likely to see earnings weakness within the S&P 500. However, Q4 ’23 and 2024 data show that S&P 500 earnings weakness is expected to reverse. Read more here... → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings: Don't Ignore What's Happening With H2 '23 Quarterly Estimates

The calendar year estimate for 2023 is seeing negative revisions, but the back half of 2023 quarterly expected growth estimates are starting to firm up. Read more here... → Read More

Part I: Big Banks And Other Financials Report This Coming Friday, January 13

Seven banks and financials reporting on Friday will kick off Q4 ’22 results. The real metric will be the addition to loan loss reserves by JPM, BAC, and C. → Read More

Q4 2022 S&P 500 Earnings / Guidance: Is There Any Reason For CEOs To Be Optimistic?

January 6th’s better-than-expected average hourly earnings in the December ’22 jobs report and the sharp contraction in Services ISM put a bid under stocks and bonds. Read more here... → Read More

Updating S&P 500 'Annual' Returns, And Some Other Good Stats For Readers

2022’s -18% S&P 500 total return has brought down the annual returns for the key benchmark each quarter. Investors needed a year like 2022 to reset longer-term returns to a reasonable level. → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings Update: 2022 Reset The Shot Clock On The Secular Bull Market

The S&P 500 earnings data won’t be much different than last week, and next week, Walgreens (WBA) is the only company of note reporting. → Read More

The Dollar Is Weakening: What It Means Broadly And For Large-Cap Tech

Technology suffered badly from compares against 2021 results. → Read More

Estimates Show S&P 500 EPS Bottoming In Mid-2023

If the stock market is a discounting mechanism, when does the S&P 500 start to reflect a return to growth for S&P 500 EPS? Read more here... → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings/Big Jump In 10-Year Treasury Yield This Week

The 3.75% 10-year Treasury yield close for this week is the highest since the week of November 18th’s weekly close of 3.82%. → Read More

High-Yield Credit Improved Last Week And The Weekly SP 500 Earnings Tilt

Per the Morningstar yield data, on high-yield ETFs like HYG (iShares High Yield Bond ETF) and JNK (SPDR High-Yield Bond ETF), current yields are between 7.5%- 8%. → Read More

A First Look At 2023: This Secular Bull Market Is Still Just 10 Years Old

Jay Powell and the FOMC did raise the Fed funds rate 4 separate times in the last 6 months and will likely do at least 50 bps next week. → Read More

S&P 500 Earnings Update: Earnings Reports Will Be Slow For The Next 6 Weeks

S&P 500 EPS growth has been slowing both the present and the expected 2023 growth rates. → Read More