Brian Gilmartin
Seeking Alpha
Chicago, IL, United States
Contact Brian
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Recent articles by Brian:
S&P 500 Earnings: Revisions Becoming Less Negative?
Given price action and market breadth, I’m still leaning positive for the S&P 500 to definitely break the downtrend line in place since January ’22. → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings: Weakness Expected Through Mid-2023
Q4 ’22 and H1 '23 are likely to see earnings weakness within the S&P 500. However, Q4 ’23 and 2024 data show that S&P 500 earnings weakness is expected to reverse. Read more here... → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings: Don't Ignore What's Happening With H2 '23 Quarterly Estimates
The calendar year estimate for 2023 is seeing negative revisions, but the back half of 2023 quarterly expected growth estimates are starting to firm up. Read more here... → Read More
Part I: Big Banks And Other Financials Report This Coming Friday, January 13
Seven banks and financials reporting on Friday will kick off Q4 ’22 results. The real metric will be the addition to loan loss reserves by JPM, BAC, and C. → Read More
Q4 2022 S&P 500 Earnings / Guidance: Is There Any Reason For CEOs To Be Optimistic?
January 6th’s better-than-expected average hourly earnings in the December ’22 jobs report and the sharp contraction in Services ISM put a bid under stocks and bonds. Read more here... → Read More
Updating S&P 500 'Annual' Returns, And Some Other Good Stats For Readers
2022’s -18% S&P 500 total return has brought down the annual returns for the key benchmark each quarter. Investors needed a year like 2022 to reset longer-term returns to a reasonable level. → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings Update: 2022 Reset The Shot Clock On The Secular Bull Market
The S&P 500 earnings data won’t be much different than last week, and next week, Walgreens (WBA) is the only company of note reporting. → Read More
The Dollar Is Weakening: What It Means Broadly And For Large-Cap Tech
Technology suffered badly from compares against 2021 results. → Read More
Estimates Show S&P 500 EPS Bottoming In Mid-2023
If the stock market is a discounting mechanism, when does the S&P 500 start to reflect a return to growth for S&P 500 EPS? Read more here... → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings/Big Jump In 10-Year Treasury Yield This Week
The 3.75% 10-year Treasury yield close for this week is the highest since the week of November 18th’s weekly close of 3.82%. → Read More
High-Yield Credit Improved Last Week And The Weekly SP 500 Earnings Tilt
Per the Morningstar yield data, on high-yield ETFs like HYG (iShares High Yield Bond ETF) and JNK (SPDR High-Yield Bond ETF), current yields are between 7.5%- 8%. → Read More
A First Look At 2023: This Secular Bull Market Is Still Just 10 Years Old
Jay Powell and the FOMC did raise the Fed funds rate 4 separate times in the last 6 months and will likely do at least 50 bps next week. → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings Update: Earnings Reports Will Be Slow For The Next 6 Weeks
S&P 500 EPS growth has been slowing both the present and the expected 2023 growth rates. → Read More
Chicago Merc: In A Year Tailor-Made For The CME To Outperform, It Fizzles (NASDAQ:CME)
CME has managed the business with excellent expense and margin control. Read why the stock fell flat in a year where the stock should have outperformed. → Read More
SP 500 Earnings Update, More Inflation Data, And November Jobs Report This Coming Week
It’s clear that the Fed has engineered a softer US economy and gradual glide path lower in terms of US GDP growth. → Read More
CPI Inflation Will Come Down: A Look At Walmart, Amazon, Costco And Home Depot
Walmart recently had a good earnings report for its fiscal 3rd quarter ended October ’22, where revenue grew 8.75%, operating income grew 4% and EPS grew 3.5% year-over-year (YoY). → Read More
While Economic Fundamentals Have Begun To Change, Technicals Have Not/Energy Update
The sentiment around the energy sector is very bullish, against tough compares, and at least the potential for a recession. Read more. → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings Update: Negative EPS Revisions Slow A Little
Forward 4-quarter S&P 500 earnings estimate slid to $224.81 this week from last week’s $225.20, which is the smallest sequential decline of the last 4 weeks. → Read More
Style Box Update: Value Had A Strong 6 Weeks, So Did Equal Weight
It was long anticipated the “non large-cap growth” asset class would eventually assert itself in terms of market leadership and revert to the mean. → Read More
S&P 500 Earnings Update: Forward Estimates Still Deteriorating
Impressive rally in both the US stock, bond, and international equity markets this week. Read more. → Read More