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The Q4 2023 S&P 500 EPS growth is still reflecting 10% y.y, and it has not been revised down even though Q1 and Q2 ’23 EPS estimates continue to be revised lower. Read more here... → Read More
Walmart inventory-to-sales ratio had the best quarter of the last 8 - returning to normal. Did the Q4 report make WMT stock a buy? Click to find out! → Read More
With CPI inflation still declining, the tighter Fed policy is working. Friday’s PCE deflator could be the most important metric of the week, since it’s the Fed’s preferred inflation metric. → Read More
Value outperformed growth smartly in 2022. Growth has narrowed the difference in 2023, but it’s still early in the year. Read more here... → Read More
Looking at the percentage change of a sector’s expected growth versus the overall expected growth rate gives a reader the magnitude of the impact of guidance on 2023’s expected growth. → Read More
The strong dollar was a headwind in '22, although its real impact is on Coca-Cola margins from COGS impact. Read why I'm bullish on KO stock. → Read More
Intel's annual capex nut is still a long-term problem. Dividend could get eliminated, but INTC's senior unsecured credit rating by S&P/Moody's is still A-/A3. Read more here. → Read More
Given price action and market breadth, I’m still leaning positive for the S&P 500 to definitely break the downtrend line in place since January ’22. → Read More
Q4 ’22 and H1 '23 are likely to see earnings weakness within the S&P 500. However, Q4 ’23 and 2024 data show that S&P 500 earnings weakness is expected to reverse. Read more here... → Read More
The calendar year estimate for 2023 is seeing negative revisions, but the back half of 2023 quarterly expected growth estimates are starting to firm up. Read more here... → Read More
Seven banks and financials reporting on Friday will kick off Q4 ’22 results. The real metric will be the addition to loan loss reserves by JPM, BAC, and C. → Read More
January 6th’s better-than-expected average hourly earnings in the December ’22 jobs report and the sharp contraction in Services ISM put a bid under stocks and bonds. Read more here... → Read More
2022’s -18% S&P 500 total return has brought down the annual returns for the key benchmark each quarter. Investors needed a year like 2022 to reset longer-term returns to a reasonable level. → Read More
The S&P 500 earnings data won’t be much different than last week, and next week, Walgreens (WBA) is the only company of note reporting. → Read More
Technology suffered badly from compares against 2021 results. → Read More
If the stock market is a discounting mechanism, when does the S&P 500 start to reflect a return to growth for S&P 500 EPS? Read more here... → Read More
The 3.75% 10-year Treasury yield close for this week is the highest since the week of November 18th’s weekly close of 3.82%. → Read More
Per the Morningstar yield data, on high-yield ETFs like HYG (iShares High Yield Bond ETF) and JNK (SPDR High-Yield Bond ETF), current yields are between 7.5%- 8%. → Read More
Jay Powell and the FOMC did raise the Fed funds rate 4 separate times in the last 6 months and will likely do at least 50 bps next week. → Read More
S&P 500 EPS growth has been slowing both the present and the expected 2023 growth rates. → Read More