Tony Chow
FiveThirtyEight
New York, NY, United States
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Past articles by Tony:
Polls Aren’t Dead. Here Are The Pollsters To Trust.
Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated. After the 2016 and 2020 elections, when the polls had a rough year, a lot of peo… → Read More
When One Party Controls State Government
Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: In November 2022, Democrats in four states achieved trifectas. No, they didn’t get lucky down at the track — although they did win … → Read More
How Inflation’s 41-Year High Impacted American Life
This video is part of our series “The Numbers That Defined 2022.” Transcript Monica Potts: One of the most important numbers of 2022 was 9.1 percent. That was t… → Read More
Ron DeSantis Drew Florida An Extreme Gerrymander
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich breaks down how Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis pushed through his gerrymandered map of Florida. TRANSCRIPT The Everglades i… → Read More
Here’s What Overturning Roe Means For Abortion Access Across The U.S.
The Supreme Court just overturned Roe v. Wade. Before today, the right to an abortion was protected under the U.S. Constitution, which meant that state lawmaker… → Read More
The Supreme Court’s Approval Rating Is Dropping
Senior legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux explains why the Supreme Court’s approval rating has dropped over the past few months. For most of the court’s hist… → Read More
Illinois May Be The Worst Democratic Gerrymander In The Country
The worst Democratic gerrymander in the country is arguably in Illinois, as it set off a high-stakes game of musical chairs among the state’s five Republican Ho… → Read More
Ohio’s Redistricting Process Has Been a Roller Coaster
Back in 2018, Ohio voters thought they were doing a good thing by reforming redistricting in their state. It turns out they created a chaotic process that has l… → Read More
How Alabama’s Gerrymander Could Hurt Black Political Power Across The Country
Alabama’s contested congressional map is now in the hands of the Supreme Court. But regardless of how the case shakes out, it could change voting rights across … → Read More
What Went Down As March Madness Tipped Off
Condolences for those who had Iowa making the Elite Eight or further. I’m sure there were many of you. → Read More
Texas May Have The Worst Gerrymander In The Country
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich explains why several advocacy groups have argued that Texas’s new congressional map discriminates against people of co… → Read More
Confidence Interval: Will Biden’s Supreme Court Pick Motivate Republican Voters More Than Democrats?
It’s time for another episode of Confidence Interval, where we share a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, politics reporter Alex Samuels examines why President Biden’s Supreme Court nominee might motivate Republican voters more than Democrat voters in the upcoming midterms. → Read More
New York’s Gerrymander Might Change Which Party Picks Up Seats In The Midterms
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich breaks down how New York state was able to pass its Democratically gerrymandered congressional map and what it could m… → Read More
Confidence Internal: Will Biden Make Kamala Harris His Supreme Court Nominee?
It’s another episode of Confidence Interval, where we share a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, senior writer Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux considers the tweets claiming that President Joe Biden could nominate Vice President Kamala Harris to the Supreme Court. → Read More
Do You Buy That … The Redistricting Process Will Hurt Democrats?
Visit the post for more. → Read More
Many Gay Republicans Have To Come Out Twice
Gay people in America overwhelmingly vote for Democrats and have done so for decades. But they aren’t a monolithic group. In our second episode of “Political Outliers,” meet two gay Republicans — one in his 20s and one in his 60s — who have been lifelong conservatives. Hear how they developed their political ideologies and which issues motivate them to stay loyal to the GOP. → Read More
Why Some White Evangelicals Are Rethinking Their Politics
White evangelicals are often seen as a solidly Republican voting bloc. In the 2020 election, 84 percent of them voted for Donald Trump. In fact, according to th… → Read More
What Should Be The Next Olympic Sport?
The 2020 Tokyo Games introduced viewers to skateboarding, surfing and climbing — new Olympic sports that have become fan favorites. On this episode of Debate Cl… → Read More
How To Watch Olympic Karate
This year, karate finally joins other martial arts like judo, taekwondo and wrestling at the Olympic Games in Tokyo. The athletes, called karatekas, will compet… → Read More
How To Watch Olympic Sport Climbing
Sport climbing is making its debut at the Olympic Games this year. To win a medal, 20 men and 20 women will each compete in three separate events: lead, speed a… → Read More