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Two good reasons not to call for peace talks now. → Read More
As the conflict enters its second year, it’s clear that the cost to both sides will be intolerably high. → Read More
ChatGPT and DALL-E have hastened the day when artists must evaluate themselves against higher standards, above all those of originality and creative bravery. → Read More
What worked against increasingly isolated belligerents in World War II won’t beat a victimized nation that enjoys strong outside support. → Read More
For both sets of combatants, the growing mixture of nervous exhaustion, emotional hardening and hatred for the enemy will likely lead to more atrocities. → Read More
Brewing talk of a diplomatic solution to the conflict demands an honest look at the possible end games. → Read More
Advocates of the strategy want to transform Russia the way Germany and Japan were after they lost World War II. But there’s one big hitch. → Read More
Russia’s leader doesn’t really operate according to the logic of provocation and response. Instead, he is constantly searching for opportunities to gain an advantage. → Read More
The “partial mobilization” of reservists may have sowed unrest, but by deepening the engagement of ordinary Russians, it will sharpen the conflict for both Russia and Ukraine. → Read More
Neither he nor Russia’s hard-core nationalists have come up with convincing arguments to persuade ordinary post-Soviet Russians to die in a discretionary conflict. → Read More
None of this means that Putin is about to be toppled. → Read More
As military reversals erode his domestic legitimacy, Russia’s president faces an ever-darker road, and more drastic choices, in order to retain power. → Read More
Russia’s hubris will deepen the psychological effects of its battlefield setbacks → Read More
Russia’s president is overestimating the weakness of Europe’s democracies and underestimating Ukraine’s willingness to fight. → Read More
Six months into the war, Russia's president is clearly the deceiver, not the deceived, about the conflict’s stalemate. → Read More
The evil empire he inherited crumbled but a new one has been allowed to rise in its place. → Read More
Most are essentially caretaker arrangements that represent, for both sides, bets on normalization, with Russian buyers bearing much of the risk. → Read More
The Kremlin’s emerging plans for occupied Ukraine could amount to a declaration of permanent, open-ended war against other parts of Europe. → Read More
Compromise seems impossible, neither side is sure to win and, no matter what happens, Ukraine will need lasting help from its Western supporters. → Read More
Overcentralization hasn’t worked to make the country peaceful and prosperous. → Read More