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Market movements this year indicate that many investors don't believe that the Federal Reserve will really live up to its picture of continued increases in its policy rate. → Read More
The Federal Reserve continues its quantitative tightening, and it keeps the pliers tight around the monetary facet. Read what investors need to know. → Read More
The statement of the Federal Open Market Committee concerning the recent 25 basis point rise in the Fed's policy rate of interest was received fairly well in the markets. → Read More
The U.S. economy is in the middle of a period of radical uncertainty. Click here to read what investors need to know. → Read More
My belief is that the value of the U.S. dollar will go up and return to the values that were seen earlier in 2022. Click here to read more. → Read More
Federal Reserve continues on its quantitative tightening path, a path that has now resulted in a $428B reduction in its securities portfolio. Read more here. → Read More
European Union is planning a pilot test to examine the next stage of the movement into Central Bank Digital Currency. Read more here. → Read More
The current effort for crypto-lenders to bring the centuries-old business model of banking into the current era is on hold for now. Click here for my view of crypto-lending. → Read More
Fed continues to reduce the amount of securities in its portfolio and continues to oversee a further decrease in commercial bank reserves. Click here to read more. → Read More
Industrial production has been down for three months and capacity utilization has been down for eight months. Click here to read what this means. → Read More
JPMorgan has given us a picture of how the big banks look going into 2023, when they might face a recession. Click for my take on what this means for banks. → Read More
The Federal Reserve continues to reduce the size of its securities portfolio and to oversee the reduction in commercial bank excess reserves. Read a macro outlook here. → Read More
Earnings season is upon us and given the uncertainty that exists in the world, earnings for 2023 are not expected to be that good. Click for more. → Read More
Investors push stock prices up when they see a good sign that the Federal Reserve may have to change directions in the near future. Click here to read more. → Read More
The Federal Reserve has kept a steady foot on the economy's brake since March 2022. Click here to read what investors need to know. → Read More
2023 is not likely going to provide a very strong recovery, and this is consistent with the effort to hold inflation in check. Click here to read more. → Read More
The term structure of interest rates has a negative slope to it, a possible indicator that a recession is taking place or will take place soon. Click for more. → Read More
The year 2022 was characterized by the fact that there was lots and lots of uncertainty, uncertainty all over. 2023 should be the same. Click to read more. → Read More
Federal Reserve is doing what it said it was going to do and both the Fed's securities portfolio and the excess reserves of the banking system are declining. Read more here. → Read More
The Federal Reserve, fighting inflation, is pushing money stock growth rates toward negative figures. Read more on the economy here. → Read More