Sam Roggeveen
The Lowy Institute
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Past articles by Sam:
Australia enters the post-party phase of Western democracy
Get used to governing with wafer-thin majorities or as a minority. → Read More
China: The Morrison legacy and beyond
Labor is expected to persist with most of the Coalition’s foreign and defence policies. But useful changes can be made. → Read More
Chinese bases in the Pacific: A reality check
Frustrating Beijing’s ambitions to create a sphere of influence is overwhelmingly a diplomatic task, not a military one. → Read More
Russia-Ukraine: Lessons for Australia’s defence
Great powers seek spheres of influence – but there are limits. → Read More
Indonesia makes a big defence statement
Canberra should look beyond the Quad and to its own backyard for an all-weather strategic friend. → Read More
Ear worms for The Interpreter’s 2021 favourites
Podcasts-a-plenty for the end of year break, a new beat for world politics. → Read More
Changing my mind about AUKUS
What I said then, and what I think now, about the nuclear-powered subs announcement that caught everyone by surprise. → Read More
Australia Is Making a Risky Bet on the U.S.
Australia has thrust itself into a central role in America’s rivalry with China. → Read More
How nuclear subs could transform Australia, its alliance and Asia
First thoughts on the consequences of a truly momentous decision. → Read More
Will ANZUS make it to 80?
A war in Asia would be a true test of the “unbreakable” bonds said to define the US-Australia relationship. → Read More
Afghanistan holds lessons for American power in Asia
The US will one day ask the same question about its presence in Asia that it did in Afghanistan: is it still worth it? → Read More
Why the US is quietly outshining China
Xi Jinping likes to say China owns the future and the West is in decline. But appearances can also deceive → Read More
Australia and migration: Will the Covid pause become a full stop?
A bipartisan consensus about high immigration remains. But so does arrogance about Australia’s place in the region. → Read More
Australia keeps calm while China carries on
In the face of sustained coercion, Canberra has rejected the urge to seek economic revenge against Beijing. → Read More
Something is broken in the way we are conducting Australian politics
Originally published in The Mandarin. → Read More
How far would Australia go in defence of the rules-based order?
The way the defence force is structured and the weapons deployed sends a message beyond the words. → Read More
Democracy vs autocracy: Biden’s “inflection point”
If this really is a new Cold War, it’s off to a slow start. → Read More
What does America think the rules-based order is for?
The US is in a defensive crouch rather than in an expansionary mood. But bring on debate. → Read More
Book review: The Ministry for the Future
Putting the fate of the world in the hands of boring bureaucrats might not seem compelling – might just also be right. → Read More
There are reasons to feel OK about 2020, but a long-forgotten worry got worse
Originally published in The Sydney Morning Herald. → Read More